Prediction for match Finland — Malta, 14.11.2025

Match Analysis: Finland vs Malta

In the World Cup European Qualifiers, Finland will face Malta on November 14, 2025. The odds for the outcomes are: Finland win at 1.22, draw at 5.75, and Malta win at 15.00. The most likely result is a Finland victory, with a probability of 77.31%, a draw at 16.40%, and a Malta win at 6.29%. Bookmakers clearly favor Finland, as reflected in both the odds and the percentage distribution for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Finland averaged 45.4% possession, 2.4 corners, 1.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Meanwhile, Malta averaged 41.4% possession, 2 corners, 3.8 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 1 offside. Finland's last three results were: Netherlands 4-0 Finland on 12.10.2025, Finland 2-1 Lithuania on 09.10.2025, and Poland 3-1 Finland on 07.09.2025. Malta's recent results were: Malta 0-4 Netherlands on 09.10.2025, Lithuania 1-1 Malta on 04.09.2025, and Netherlands 8-0 Malta on 10.06.2025. In their head-to-head on 21.03.2025, Malta lost to Finland 0-1, which was under 2.5 total goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of Finland's last 5 games and in 2 of Malta's last 5. Finland averages 3 goals per match, while Malta averages 3.2, with Finland scoring 1 and conceding 2, whereas Malta scores only 0.2 and concedes 3. By halves: Finland had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and Malta similarly 3 out of 5. By intervals, Finland most frequently scores between 16-45 and 46-60 minutes (25% each), while Malta scores late, between 76-90 minutes (36%). In terms of goals conceded: Finland has three intervals with equal frequency (16-30, 61-75, 76-90 at 33% each), and Malta between 46-60 and 76-90 (40% each). Notably, both teams regularly hit over 2.5 goals in their recent series, but Malta barely scores, and Finland often concedes. The most logical bet seems to be Both Teams to Score: No, as Finland consistently scores, while Malta rarely finds the net, their average goals scored is minimal, and the frequency of over 2.5 goals is due to heavy defeats.

Corners in the Match

Finland averages 2.4 corners per game, and Malta 2. In the last 5 matches, Finland had over 9.5 corners 2 times out of 5, while Malta never exceeded 9.5 corners. The odds for total corners: over 8.5 is at 1.80, under 8.5 at 1.91. Finland is favored in corners with odds of 1.17. Based on the data, the match doesn't promise a large number of corners, so it's more logical to consider betting on under 8.5 corners, considering both teams' averages and their frequencies for this total.