Prediction for match Fiorentina — AEK Athens, 27.11.2025

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs AEK Athens

On November 27, a UEFA Conference League match will take place between Fiorentina and AEK Athens. Fiorentina is the favorite with odds of 1.72 to win, a draw is priced at 3.82, and an AEK Athens victory is offered at 5.35. The percentage distribution is: 56.44% for a Fiorentina win, 25.41% for a draw, and 18.15% for an AEK Athens victory. This setup indicates a predominant trust in the Italian team, although a draw is also considered quite possible by bookmakers. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the tactical approaches of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 51% possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 13.6 fouls, and had 1 offside per game. AEK Athens shows a higher possession rate of 66.8%, with 2.8 yellows, 14 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Fiorentina played as follows: 22.11 - Fiorentina vs Juventus 1-1, 09.11 - Genoa vs Fiorentina 2-2, 06.11 - Mainz 05 vs Fiorentina 2-1. AEK Athens in their last three encounters: 23.11 - AEK Athens vs Aris 1-0, 09.11 - OFI vs AEK Athens 0-1, 06.11 - AEK Athens vs Shamrock Rovers 1-1. Both teams have not been highly productive in these games, with AEK Athens showing a stable defensive performance.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five games, Fiorentina played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, with only one first half exceeding 1.5 goals, while the second half exceeded 1.5 goals three times. AEK Athens never had a game exceed 2.5 goals, with all five matches finishing under 2.5. Furthermore, the Greeks never exceeded 1.5 goals in either half. Average goal stats: Fiorentina 2.6 goals per game, scoring 0.8, conceding 1.8; AEK Athens only 1.4 goals on average, scoring 0.8, conceding 0.6. By intervals: Fiorentina most often scores between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while AEK Athens scores late, 76-90 minutes (60%). Fiorentina most frequently concedes between 16-30 minutes (60%), AEK Athens in the same 16-30 (50%) and 61-75 (50%). Considering AEK Athens' low scoring and Fiorentina's average scoring, along with five under matches for the Greek team, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems most logical.

How Many Corners?

On corners, Fiorentina averages 5 per match, AEK Athens 7.6. In the last five games, both teams recorded over 9.5 total corners three times. For the match line, you can highlight over 8.5 total corners at 1.72 and under 8.5 at 2.04. If considering the winner on corners, Fiorentina is favored with odds of 1.40. Given this dynamic, it makes sense to consider a total over 8.5 corners, considering both teams' high corner-taking stats. You might also look at individual corner totals, especially for AEK Athens, which consistently has a high average.