Prediction for match Fiorentina — Atalanta

Match Preview

In Serie A, Fiorentina will face Atalanta on 22.05.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Fiorentina's victory is priced at 2.86, a draw at 3.66, and Atalanta's win at 2.55. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 34.45% chance of a Fiorentina win, 26.92% for a draw, and 38.63% for an Atalanta victory. This suggests a slight advantage for Atalanta according to the bookmakers, but the gap isn't significant, promising a competitive match. The over/under and both teams to score markets are also widely available, with the 'Both Teams to Score: Yes' market taking interest at odds of 1.54.

Team Results and Stats

In the last five matches, Fiorentina has averaged 46.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Atalanta has higher averages in many parameters: 57.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Fiorentina's last three matches were: 17.05.2026 Juventus - Fiorentina 0-2, 10.05.2026 Fiorentina - Genoa 0-0, 04.05.2026 Roma - Fiorentina 4-0. Atalanta's last three matches were: 17.05.2026 Atalanta - Bologna 0-1, 10.05.2026 Milan - Atalanta 2-3, 02.05.2026 Atalanta - Genoa 0-0. In their head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Atalanta defeated Fiorentina 2-0.

How Many Goals in Fiorentina vs Atalanta Match

Fiorentina has an average total of 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1 goal. Atalanta's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 out of 5 for Fiorentina and 2 out of 5 for Atalanta. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were seen once for Fiorentina and twice for Atalanta. In the second half, Fiorentina had no matches with over 1.5 goals, while Atalanta had 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show Fiorentina scores evenly across five segments (20% in each interval from 0-75 minutes), while Atalanta scores mostly at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%). Conceding patterns show Fiorentina lets in most between 16-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and Atalanta at the end of both halves (31-45 and 76-90 minutes - 29% each). Given both teams have a low over 2.5 goals rate but average totals above 1.5, and Atalanta's late activity, betting on 'Both Teams to Score: Yes' at 1.54 seems logical. Fiorentina scored in two of their last five matches, Atalanta in three, with both teams creating chances, especially in the second half. Both teams also display certain defensive instability, increasing the likelihood of an exchange of goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Fiorentina averages 3.6 corners, Atalanta 4 per match. In the last five games, over 9.5 corners occurred once for both teams. The closest line to the average sum (7.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.31, under 7.5 at 3.12. Also, over 8.5 corners is at 1.56, under 8.5 at 2.28. Atalanta is favored in the corners market at 1.85. Given the average corner activity and the low frequency of high totals, considering a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5 corners and Atalanta's advantage in corners seems logical.