Prediction for match Fiorentina — Cagliari, 24.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

Serie A Italy, January 24: Fiorentina faces Cagliari. According to the odds: Fiorentina's victory is priced at 1.69, a draw at 4.03, and Cagliari's win at 5.72. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 58.32% for Fiorentina's win, 24.45% for a draw, and 17.23% for Cagliari. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.03, and for under 2.5 goals - 1.92. Both teams to score: Yes is at 1.92, No is at 1.80. Individual total options: Fiorentina over 1.5 goals - 1.82, Cagliari over 0.5 goals - 1.64. Fiorentina to win on corners is at 1.35. For double chance, 1X is at 1.18, X2 - 2.31.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina maintains 53% possession, records 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Cagliari shows 44.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Fiorentina's last three matches: 01/18/2026 - Bologna vs Fiorentina - 1-2, 01/11/2026 - Fiorentina vs Milan - 1-1, 01/07/2026 - Lazio vs Fiorentina - 2-2. Cagliari's: 01/17/2026 - Cagliari vs Juventus - 1-0, 01/12/2026 - Genoa vs Cagliari - 3-0, 01/08/2026 - Cremonese vs Cagliari - 2-2. In their head-to-head on 08/24/2025, Cagliari and Fiorentina drew 1-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Fiorentina averages 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. Cagliari averages 2.4 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Fiorentina and 3 out of 5 for Cagliari. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Fiorentina and twice for Cagliari, while both teams recorded 2 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals, 50% of Fiorentina's goals come between the 76th and 90th minute, and 40% of their conceded goals also occur in this period. Cagliari tends to score in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 (each 29%), and concedes mainly from the 46th to 60th minute (40%). Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile, but Cagliari tends to play more high-scoring matches. However, average goals scored and conceded do not exceed 2.4 per match, supporting the bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.92.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Fiorentina averages 4.8 corners per game, Cagliari - 3.2. In the last five matches, Fiorentina had over 9.5 corners in 4, and Cagliari in 2. The closest average total is 8, reflected in the line: over 8 corners - 1.43, under 8 - 2.63. Fiorentina is favored in corners at 1.35. Fiorentina's matches show a tendency for more corners, making the bet on over 8 logical. Individual totals: Fiorentina over 4.5 corners - 1.44, Cagliari over 2.5 - 1.47. Overall, both teams can collectively reach around 8-9 corners per match.