Prediction for match Fiorentina — Cremonese

Match Preview

In Serie A on January 4, Fiorentina will face Cremonese. The odds for a Fiorentina victory are 1.83, a draw is priced at 3.72, and a win for Cremonese is at 5.00. In terms of probability: Fiorentina - 53.82%, draw - 26.48%, Cremonese - 19.70%. Fiorentina is seen as the favorite by the odds and probabilities, but a draw is also a possible outcome according to the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina has averaged 56.4% ball possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. During the same period, Cremonese has maintained 45.8% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 14.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides per match. In their last three games, Fiorentina played as follows: 27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1-0, 21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5-1, 18.12.2025 Lausanne - Fiorentina 1-0. Cremonese's last three matches were: 28.12.2025 Cremonese - Napoli 0-2, 20.12.2025 Lazio - Cremonese 0-0, 13.12.2025 Torino - Cremonese 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 27.04.2023, Fiorentina and Cremonese ended in a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Fiorentina has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, while Cremonese has 1.8. Fiorentina scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2, whereas Cremonese scores 1 and concedes 0.8. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Fiorentina had 3 out of 5 matches with more than 2.5 goals, Cremonese had only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Fiorentina had 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Cremonese had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Fiorentina had 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, Cremonese had 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Fiorentina most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each), while Cremonese distributes their goals across four intervals equally (25% each). As for goals conceded, Fiorentina often allows goals from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% in each of the four segments), while 60% of Cremonese's conceded goals occur between the 31st-45th minute. Considering Fiorentina's regular scoring and productive play, and Cremonese conceding less than one on average, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.09 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Fiorentina takes 5.6 corners per match, Cremonese - 4. In a five-game series, both teams had 4 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners. For a total corners bet of 9.5, there are two options: over 9.5 is priced at 2.04, under 9.5 at 1.73. Fiorentina is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.36. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of overs, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems logical for this match.