Prediction for match Fiorentina — Inter

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on March 22, 2026, Fiorentina will face Inter. According to the 1X2 odds, Inter is the favorite: their win is offered at odds of 1.65, a draw at 4.43, and a Fiorentina victory at 5.42. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Fiorentina - 18.15%, draw - 22.21%, Inter - 59.63%. This setup reflects Inter's advantage in pre-match expectations, although a draw is not ruled out according to bookmakers. The match promises to be interesting in terms of power distribution, considering the difference in percentages and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Fiorentina's last three matches, the team defeated Raków 2-1 (March 12, 2026), then confidently beat Cremonese 4-1 (March 16, 2026), and on March 19, they were again stronger than Raków, winning 2-1. Inter in their last three encounters drew with Atalanta 1-1 (March 14, 2026), lost to Milan 0-1 (March 8, 2026), and had a goalless draw with Como 0-0 (March 3, 2026). In the head-to-head match on October 29, 2025, Inter was stronger than Fiorentina with a score of 3-0. Over a five-match period, Fiorentina had an average ball possession of 56.4%, recorded 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Inter had higher possession - 59.4%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. These figures show that both teams can control the ball, but Fiorentina commits more fouls, while Inter is more often caught offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Fiorentina appears noticeably more active: in a five-match series, they have an average total goals per match of 2.8, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Inter's figures are more modest - 1.6 goals on average per match, with 0.8 scored and the same conceded. In the last 5 games, Fiorentina's total over 2.5 occurred 4 times, while Inter only once. By halves, Fiorentina had a total over 1.5 in the second half 4 out of 5 times, and only once in the first half. Inter's second half over 1.5 occurred 1 out of 5 times, with no occurrences in the first half. For goal intervals, Fiorentina most often scores in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes - each 29%. They also concede in the second half, especially in the 46-60 and 61-75 intervals (29% each). Inter's most frequent goals come in the 31-45 minute interval (40%), while conceded goals are distributed towards the end: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 - each 33%. Given this data, a bet on total over 2.25 at 1.54 seems justified: Fiorentina has high scoring potential, and Inter, despite a low average scoring rate, is at risk of conceding in the second half, where Fiorentina is particularly active. Fiorentina's over 2.5 total occurred 4 out of 5 times, confirming the team's attacking profile.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Fiorentina earns 5.6 corners per match, while Inter gets 7. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 were recorded twice by both teams. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average values (12.6) is 11.5, with odds of: total corners over 11.5 - 3.17, under 11.5 - 1.29. Inter is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.38. Overall, both teams deliver many corners, and it makes sense to consider options for totals over 10.5 or 11.5, as well as Inter's victory in this aspect. In the last five meetings between Fiorentina and Inter, both teams show stable corner statistics, which could lead to a high number of corner kicks.