Prediction for match Fiorentina — Lazio

Match Preview

In Serie A on 13.04.2026, an intriguing match will take place between Fiorentina and Lazio. The 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: a win for Fiorentina is at 2.40, a draw is priced at 3.11, and a victory for Lazio is offered at 3.60. In terms of probabilities: Fiorentina has 41.01%, a draw is at 31.65%, and Lazio is at 27.34%. Fiorentina is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't too large, adding intrigue to the match. For goal totals: over 2.5 goals is at 2.27, under 2.5 is at 1.74, both teams to score - yes is at 1.85, no is at 1.87. This indicates that bookmakers don't expect an overly high-scoring game, but the likelihood of both teams scoring is quite high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fiorentina played as follows: on 09.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Fiorentina 3-0, on 04.04.2026 Verona - Fiorentina 0-1, on 22.03.2026 Fiorentina - Inter 1-1. Lazio's last three results were: on 04.04.2026 Lazio - Parma 1-1, on 22.03.2026 Bologna - Lazio 0-2, on 15.03.2026 Lazio - Milan 1-0. In head-to-head encounters, the last match took place on 07.01.2026: Lazio - Fiorentina 2-2. Over a five-match period, Fiorentina had an average possession of 48.4%, recorded 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Lazio maintained possession 49.2% of the time, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 7.8 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides. This reflects a disciplined game from both teams and similar ball control stats.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Fiorentina vs Lazio

In the last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 2.8 goals per game, while Lazio averaged 2.4. Both teams score an average of 1.6 goals, but Fiorentina concedes 1.2, and Lazio only 0.8. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Fiorentina had 3 out of 5, Lazio had 2 out of 5, indicating a slight edge for Fiorentina on the over. By halves: in the first half, over 1.5 occurred for Fiorentina 2 times out of 5, for Lazio 1 out of 5; in the second half, both teams had 2 occurrences out of 5 for over 1.5. Fiorentina most frequently scores between the 46th-60th (33%) and 76th-90th (33%) minutes, Lazio scores towards the end, from the 76th to the 90th minute (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Fiorentina is most vulnerable from the 61st to the 90th minute (25% in two intervals), Lazio also towards the end (33%). Overall, both teams have arguments for a high-scoring game, but Lazio has been reliable defensively lately. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals at 1.74, as neither team has a strong over-profile, and Lazio consistently limits opponents' goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over a five-match period, Fiorentina averages 3.2 corners, Lazio 2.2. The over 9.5 corners total was only recorded once out of 5 for each team. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (5.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.64, under 8.5 is at 2.12. In terms of corner outcome, Fiorentina is favored with odds of 1.70. Considering the low average figures for both teams and the rare occurrence of high totals, it makes sense to consider lower values for corners, with Fiorentina having the edge in this component.