Tips for match Fiorentina — Lecce, 02.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On November 2nd, Fiorentina faces Lecce in Serie A. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Fiorentina win at 1.62, a draw at 3.80, and a Lecce victory at 5.75. The implied probabilities are: Fiorentina - 58.55%, Draw - 24.96%, Lecce - 16.49%. Fiorentina enters the match as the favorite according to the odds and probability assessments, but Lecce is also capable of putting up a fight, considering their recent form. These figures reflect analysts' confidence in Fiorentina's higher potential, but Lecce should not be underestimated. The match promises to be tense, as both teams have the ability to surprise their opponent at any stage of the game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina has averaged 46.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Lecce shows 43.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and only 1 offside per game. In their last three matches, Fiorentina played as follows: 29.10.2025 Inter - Fiorentina 3-0, 26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2-2, 23.10.2025 Rapid Vienna - Fiorentina 0-3. Lecce's recent three games were: 28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0-1, 25.10.2025 Udinese - Lecce 3-2, 18.10.2025 Lecce - Sassuolo 0-0. In their head-to-head on February 28, 2025, Fiorentina defeated Lecce 1-0, with the total under 2.5 goals. In earlier matches, there were both high-scoring draws and a big win for Fiorentina 6-0. This data shows that both teams are capable of strong defense and offensive bursts, especially considering their current discipline and ball control stats.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Fiorentina has consistently hit the over 2.5 total goals mark in their last five matches - 5 out of 5 on the over, while Lecce has had two games over and three under. In the first half, Fiorentina had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Lecce had 2 out of 5. However, in the second half, Fiorentina had 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, and Lecce had 3 out of 5. Fiorentina's average goals per game is 3.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. Lecce is more modest: 2.2 average goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. The most frequent goal interval for Fiorentina is 61-75 minutes (50%), for Lecce it's 76-90 (33%). Fiorentina concedes most often between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (38% each), while Lecce concedes between 31-45 and 61-75 (33% each). Based on this data, along with Fiorentina's dominance in hitting the over 2.5 and Lecce's decent second-half scoring, betting on over 2.5 total goals seems a logical choice. The odds for this outcome are 2.20. Expect at least three goals, especially in the second half.

Corners in the Match

On average, Lecce leads Fiorentina in corners: 6 versus 4.2 per game. In their last five matches, Fiorentina had the total over 9.5 corners twice, while Lecce had it four times out of five. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.92, under 9.5 is at 1.88. Fiorentina is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.33. In recent matches, Lecce consistently delivers more corners, which could influence the match dynamics. Both teams are capable of creating many set pieces, especially if the game is played in an attacking manner. Betting on over 9.5 total corners seems justified, considering the recent performances of both teams.