Prediction for match Fiorentina — Pisa

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on February 23, Fiorentina faces Pisa. Bookmakers assess Fiorentina's chances of victory with odds of 1.73, a draw is at 4.03, and a Pisa win is at 5.31. In terms of probability percentages: Fiorentina has 56.98%, a draw is 24.46%, and Pisa has 18.56%. For goal totals, the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.84 stands out, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring game. There are also options for over 2.25 at 1.55 and over 3.0 at 2.25, but the over 2.5 seems the most balanced in terms of risk and odds. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.74, no is at 2.00, which also indicates an expectation of goals from both sides. For individual team totals: Fiorentina over 1.5 is at 1.68, Pisa over 0.5 is at 1.52. Among additional markets, the second half over 1.5 goals at 2.00 is notable, considering the statistics by halves.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina has an average possession of 41.4%, with 2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Pisa, over the same period, has 40.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Fiorentina's last three games: February 19, 2026, Jagiellonia 0-3 Fiorentina, February 14, 2026, Como 1-2 Fiorentina, February 7, 2026, Fiorentina 2-2 Torino. Pisa's last three matches: February 13, 2026, Pisa 1-2 Milan, February 6, 2026, Verona 0-0 Pisa, January 31, 2026, Pisa 1-3 Sassuolo. In their head-to-head on September 28, 2025, Pisa and Fiorentina drew 0-0. Fiorentina averages less possession over five matches but is less aggressive in fouls, while Pisa commits more fouls. Both teams are on par with yellow cards, and the offsides difference is minimal, indicating similar attacking styles.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have shown high scoring: Fiorentina averages 3.4 total goals per match, and Pisa also 3.4. Fiorentina scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 1.6, while Pisa scores 1 and concedes 2.4. Over 5 matches, Fiorentina's over 2.5 goals bet hit 5 out of 5 times, Pisa's 3 out of 5. By halves, Fiorentina's over 1.5 in the second half occurred 5 out of 5, Pisa's 4 out of 5. In the first half, Fiorentina had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Pisa 2 out of 5. This indicates that most scoring comes in the second half. Goal intervals: Fiorentina most often scores between 46-60 minutes (50%), Pisa in the 76-90 interval (44%). Conceding: Fiorentina is most vulnerable between 46-60 (36%), Pisa evenly across four intervals (16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90) at 22% each. This profile supports the choice of an over 2.5 goals bet, as both teams tend to score late. Fiorentina has a consistent over-profile for goals, and Pisa often concedes, strengthening the over 2.5 forecast. In the last five matches, Fiorentina consistently played over 2.5, and Pisa three times out of five.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Fiorentina delivers 4 corners over 5 matches, Pisa 4.8. In frequency, Fiorentina's over 9.5 corners occurred 1 out of 5, Pisa's 3 out of 5. For corner odds, over 8.5 is at 1.63 and under 8.5 at 2.13, close to the average sum (8.8). There's also a pair for over 9.5 at 2.21 and under 9.5 at 1.70. For corner outcomes, Fiorentina is favored with odds of 1.38. Given both teams average around 9 corners combined, it's logical to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners. Pisa's higher frequency of over 9.5 might add dynamics to this aspect. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set-pieces, especially in the second half, where both teams tend to be active near the opponent's goal.