Prediction for match Fiorentina — Raków

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Conference League on March 12, Fiorentina will face Raków. According to the odds: a win for Fiorentina is priced at 1.77, a draw at 3.80, and a win for Raków at 4.94. In terms of probabilities, Fiorentina has a 54.82% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.54%, and Raków's victory is at 19.64%. Fiorentina is considered the favorite in this matchup, but the odds difference isn't huge, indicating that Raków has a fair chance.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina averages 51.2% possession, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.2 times per game. Over the same period, Raków has 56% possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 10.6 fouls, and is offside 1.4 times per game. In their last three matches, Fiorentina played as follows: March 8 - Fiorentina vs Parma - 0-0, March 2 - Udinese vs Fiorentina - 3-0, February 26 - Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia - 2-4. Raków's last three matches: March 8 - Raków vs Pogoń Szczecin - 2-0, March 1 - Lech Poznań vs Raków - 4-3, February 21 - Raków vs Nieciecza - 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Fiorentina has had over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and under in 2, while Raków has had over in only 1 and under in 4. The average number of goals in Fiorentina's matches is 2.6, and for Raków, it's 2. Both teams score 1.2 goals per game, but Fiorentina concedes 1.4, while Raków concedes 0.8. By half, the over 1.5 goals occurred once in the first half for both teams in 5 matches, while in the second half, Fiorentina had over in 2 out of 5, Raków in 1 out of 5. The most frequent scoring interval for Fiorentina is 0-15 minutes (50%), and for Raków, it's 31-45 minutes (29%). In terms of conceding, Fiorentina often concedes between 46-60 minutes (33%), and Raków concedes 33% in three different periods of the first and second half. Overall, despite some high-scoring matches from Fiorentina, both teams tend to have lower-scoring profiles: Raków consistently has more under 2.5 total matches, with average goals not exceeding 2.6, and no strong over-profile in halves. This suggests a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams average 4.6 corners over their last 5 matches. Fiorentina hasn't had any over 9.5 corner matches in this span, while Raków had 2 out of 5. According to the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.19, and under 9.5 at 1.60. For corners outcome, Fiorentina is favored with odds of 1.53. Considering the averages and frequency of outcomes, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical. It's also worth noting that neither team is particularly active in terms of corners, further supporting the under option for this metric.