Prediction for match Fiorentina — Udinese

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Udinese

On December 21, Fiorentina will face Udinese in Serie A. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Fiorentina's victory is priced at 2.26, a draw at 3.46, and a win for Udinese at 3.52. In terms of probabilities: Fiorentina - 43.57%, draw - 28.46%, Udinese - 27.97%. Bookmakers slightly favor Fiorentina, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The most likely result is a win for the home team, but a draw cannot be ruled out according to the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 54.6% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and were caught offside 2.6 times per game. Over the same period, Udinese had 46.4% possession, received 1 warning, committed 16.2 fouls, and were offside 1.8 times. In their last three encounters, Fiorentina lost to Lausanne 0-1, were defeated by Verona 1-2, and beat Dynamo Kyiv 2-1. Udinese, in their last three matches, beat Napoli 1-0, lost to Genoa 1-2, and were defeated by Juventus 0-2. In their head-to-head on May 25, 2025, Udinese and Fiorentina played out a 2-3 match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Fiorentina's average total goals per match is 2.6, while Udinese's is 2.2. Both teams score 0.8 goals per game on average. Fiorentina concedes 1.8 goals, while Udinese concedes 1.4. Fiorentina had over 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Udinese in 2 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for Fiorentina and never for Udinese. In the second half, more than 1.5 goals happened twice for each team. Fiorentina scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), while Udinese scores in the same interval (75%). Fiorentina concedes evenly throughout the quarters of the match, while Udinese concedes in the intervals 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). With these statistics, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.79 seems logical: both teams score little, there aren't many over 2.5 matches, and the average total goals do not exceed 2.6.

Corners in the Match

Fiorentina averages 5.4 corners per game, while Udinese averages 4.8. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Fiorentina and once for Udinese. The closest to the average total is 9.5, with odds for both outcomes: total corners over 9.5 at 1.94, under 9.5 at 1.77. Fiorentina is favored for corners at 1.60. Based on the data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Fiorentina's activity in delivering corners. Also, consider a bet on Fiorentina's corner victory, given the difference in average figures.