Prediction for match Crvena Zvezda — Lille

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Europa League, Crvena Zvezda will face Lille on 26.02.2026. The odds for both teams to win are nearly identical: Lille is at 2.72, Crvena Zvezda at 2.74, with a draw at 3.54. In terms of probability, Lille's victory is estimated at 36.22%, Crvena Zvezda's at 35.95%, and a draw at 27.83%. This balance of odds and percentages indicates that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, suggesting a tense and unpredictable game. The betting markets also highlight the over/under totals and both teams to score, with odds for over 1.5 goals at 1.23 and both teams to score - yes at 1.63, no at 2.17.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Crvena Zvezda defeated Partizan 3-0 (22.02.2026), won against Lille 1-0 (19.02.2026), and thrashed Železničar Pančevo 3-0 (14.02.2026). Lille's last three results were a 1-0 victory over Angers (22.02.2026), a 0-1 loss to Crvena Zvezda (19.02.2026), and a 1-1 draw with Brest (14.02.2026). In their head-to-head a week earlier, Lille lost to Crvena Zvezda 0-1. Over a five-match period, Crvena Zvezda's secondary stats show 61.6% ball possession, 1.6 average yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Lille's stats include 58.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These figures indicate both teams' high discipline and ability to control the ball.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Crvena Zvezda has been prolific over a five-match series, with an average of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 3 and conceding just 0.2. Lille's average total goals over 5 games is 1, with 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. Crvena Zvezda has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Lille has none over 2.5. In the first half, Crvena Zvezda had only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, and Lille had none. In the second half, Crvena Zvezda had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Lille had 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show Crvena Zvezda most frequently scoring between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Lille scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (50% each). For goals conceded, Crvena Zvezda most frequently concedes between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while Lille concedes mostly between 31-45 minutes (67%). This disparity in attacking potential and frequency of going over totals suggests a clear lean towards a low-scoring game from Lille, but Crvena Zvezda's high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 totals make a bet on over 2.5 at 1.91 a primary consideration.

Corners Totals Analysis

For corners, both teams have high averages: Crvena Zvezda at 7.6, Lille at 7.8 per game. Over the last 5 matches, Crvena Zvezda has gone over 9.5 corners in all 5 games, while Lille has done so in 2 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.91. This corners profile indicates high attacking activity from both teams, especially Crvena Zvezda. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the frequency of overs and average figures. It's also worth noting that both teams consistently deliver 7 or more corners per match, as confirmed by their five-match series.