Prediction for match Crvena Zvezda — Napredak

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Serbian Super Liga on March 8, Crvena Zvezda will face Napredak. The odds for a Crvena Zvezda victory are very low at 1.04, indicating a 90.84% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 13.00 with a 7.27% chance, while a Napredak victory is at 50.00 with a 1.89% chance. This disparity in odds highlights the difference in class between the teams and the bookmakers' expectations for the match outcome. The over 4.0 goals market is offered at 1.56, while under 4.0 is at 2.15, suggesting potential high scoring. The option for both teams to score: no is at 1.53, and yes is at 2.32. For individual team totals: Crvena Zvezda over 2.5 goals is at 1.20, and Napredak under 0.5 goals is at 1.64. The correct score of 3:0 is priced at 7.00, and 4:0 at 7.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Crvena Zvezda has averaged 58.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Napredak has averaged 57.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Crvena Zvezda's last three games: 01.03.2026 Radnički 1923 - Crvena Zvezda 0-2, 26.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda - Lille 0-2, 22.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda - Partizan 3-0. Napredak's games: 01.03.2026 Napredak - Spartak Subotica 1-1, 21.02.2026 Radnik Surdulica - Napredak 2-1, 14.02.2026 Napredak - Radnički Niš 2-4. The previous head-to-head on 05.10.2025 ended with Napredak - Crvena Zvezda 0-3. In the last five meetings, Crvena Zvezda has won twice by a 4-goal margin, and Napredak has failed to score in three of those encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Crvena Zvezda's last five matches, the over 2.5 goals market hit twice, while under 2.5 hit three times. For Napredak, over 2.5 goals occurred three times, under twice. Crvena Zvezda averages 1.8 goals scored, Napredak averages 1, with Napredak conceding 2.2 and Crvena Zvezda just 0.4. For first halves, Crvena Zvezda never saw over 1.5 goals, but in second halves, they did twice in five games. Napredak had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and four times in the second half. Crvena Zvezda scores most often between the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Napredak scores mostly between 76-90 minutes (67%). Crvena Zvezda concedes most in the first 15 minutes and between 61-75 (25% each), while Napredak is most vulnerable between 16-30 minutes (38%). Considering Crvena Zvezda's high scoring and Napredak's defensive issues, along with frequent second-half goals, betting on over 4.0 goals at 1.56 seems logical. Both teams play an attacking style, and Napredak's frequent concessions increase the likelihood of a high scoreline.

Corner Totals Analysis

Crvena Zvezda averages 7 corners per match, Napredak 3.2. In the last five matches, both teams saw over 9.5 total corners in 4 out of 5 games. The line for total corners offers two options: over 9.5 at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.92. This is close to the combined average corners for both teams. Crvena Zvezda's higher average suggests a potential for many crosses from the wings. Betting on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable given the frequency and Crvena Zvezda's attacking style. Napredak has seen fewer corners in recent games, but the overall game pace suggests a high total.