Prediction for match Partizan — Backa Topola

Match Analysis: Partizan vs Backa Topola

In the Serbian Super Liga on March 14, Partizan will face Backa Topola. The odds for a Partizan win are 1.67, a draw is at 3.64, and a victory for Backa Topola is valued at 4.42. Probability-wise, Partizan has a 54.45% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.98%, and Backa Topola has a 20.57% chance. This suggests an advantage for Partizan, but the recent performances of both teams show different trends in attack and defense, which could influence the outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Partizan has an average possession of 50%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per game. Backa Topola averages 55% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is offside 2 times. In their last three games, Partizan lost to Vojvodina 0-3 (08.03.2026), OFK Belgrade 1-2 (28.02.2026), and Red Star 0-3 (22.02.2026). Backa Topola drew 0-0 with Železničar Pančevo (07.03.2026), lost 0-2 to Novi Pazar (28.02.2026), and drew 1-1 with Čukarički (22.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on October 18, 2025, Backa Topola lost to Partizan 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Partizan has been showing high scoring games in their last five matches, with all games going over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in Partizan's games is 3.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Backa Topola, on the other hand, has gone over 2.5 goals in only one of their last five matches, with four games under. On average, Backa Topola's games see 1.6 goals, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8. For Partizan, 3 of their last 5 matches had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and twice in the second half. Backa Topola had no games with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only one in the second. Partizan most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (36%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th and 76th and 90th minutes (29% each). Backa Topola scores and concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minute (50% each). Considering Partizan's high-scoring matches and the consistent over 2.5 goals, as well as the not-so-reliable defenses of both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Partizan averages 3.2 corners per match, while Backa Topola averages 6.8, totaling 10. In a five-game series, Partizan had over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Backa Topola 2 out of 5. The line for corner totals closest to the average is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 2.07, under 9.5 at 1.67. Partizan is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.61. Considering Backa Topola's activity in delivering corners and Partizan's regular over 9.5 corner matches, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.