Prediction for match Flamengo — Vitoria

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Vitoria

On April 23, Flamengo and Vitoria will face off in the Copa do Brasil. The odds for a Flamengo victory are 1.22, a draw is at 6.00, and a win for Vitoria is priced at 11.60. In terms of probability, Flamengo has a 76.42% chance of winning, a draw stands at 15.54%, and Vitoria has an 8.04% chance. Given these figures, Flamengo is the clear favorite, and bookmakers give Vitoria little chance for a positive result. The betting line also offers options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual team performances, allowing for an optimal prediction with odds above 1.50.

Team Statistics and Scores

Flamengo has shown strong form in their last five matches: they defeated Bahia 2-0 on April 19, thrashed Independiente Medellin 4-1 on April 17, and secured a 2-1 away win against Fluminense on April 12. They also claimed victories over Cusco 2-0 and Santos 3-1 during this period. Vitoria, on the other hand, drew 0-0 with Corinthians, won 2-0 against Sao Paulo, shared points with Chapecoense in a 1-1 draw, lost 0-3 to Cruzeiro, and defeated Mirassol 1-0. In their last head-to-head on February 11, Vitoria lost to Flamengo 1-2. Additional statistics show Flamengo averages 53.2% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 7.6 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game over their last five matches. Vitoria averages 43.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Flamengo averages a total of 3.2 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.6. Vitoria is more modest with an average of 1.6 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8. Flamengo's matches have exceeded 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Vitoria has done so in only 1 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have exceeded 1.5 total goals once, while in the second half, Flamengo has done so in 4 out of 5, and Vitoria in 1 out of 5. This indicates Flamengo's consistent activity in the second half. In terms of scoring intervals, Flamengo most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Vitoria scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (57%). In terms of conceded goals, Flamengo is vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), and Vitoria in the final minutes, from the 76th to 90th (100%). Overall, the statistics of both teams and the frequency of exceeding total goals suggest Flamengo's clear over-profile and Vitoria's low scoring. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 3.5 goals at 1.53 seems logical, considering Vitoria rarely scores and Flamengo isn't prone to high-scoring games in every match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Flamengo takes 4.2 corners over five matches, while Vitoria takes 3. In the last five encounters, both teams have exceeded a total of 9.5 corners only once. The line offers a total corner bet of 9.5: over is priced at 1.85, and under is also 1.85. Based on average figures, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, as neither team shows high activity in this parameter. The line also offers a bet on corners: Flamengo's victory is priced at 1.20, confirming that Flamengo often controls the game and creates more set-piece opportunities. For corner bets, it makes sense to consider options for under 9.5, as well as Flamengo's victory in terms of corner count.