Prediction for match Fluminense — Botafogo, 12.02.2026

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Brazilian Serie A, Fluminense will face Botafogo on February 12. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Fluminense win at 2.18, a draw at 3.04, and a Botafogo victory at 3.91. The probability distribution is as follows: Fluminense 43.96%, draw 31.53%, Botafogo 24.51%. These figures suggest Fluminense is the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't significant. The odds and probabilities for a draw also have notable support, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Fluminense's last three matches, they defeated CFRJ / Marica 1-0 (08.02.2026), drew with Bahia 1-1 (05.02.2026), and beat Botafogo 1-0 (01.02.2026). Botafogo's last three games saw them lose to Vasco da Gama 0-2 (08.02.2026), lose to Gremio 3-5 (05.02.2026), and lose to Fluminense 0-1 (01.02.2026). In their head-to-head on February 1, Botafogo lost to Fluminense 0-1. Over a five-match span, Fluminense has 58% possession, averages 1.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1 offside. Botafogo has 51.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. These stats show Fluminense controls the ball more often, while Botafogo commits slightly fewer fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Fluminense averages 2 goals per game, while Botafogo's average is notably higher at 3.4. Fluminense scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6 goals on average, while Botafogo scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Fluminense had no matches with over 1.5 goals, while Botafogo had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Fluminense had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, and Botafogo had 4 out of 5. Both teams score most frequently between the 46th and 60th minutes: Fluminense 50%, Botafogo 46%. Fluminense concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (75%), while Botafogo spreads their conceded goals across four intervals, including 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Considering Botafogo's average scoring, regular second-half goals, and their less reliable defense, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 seems reasonable. This is supported by both teams' ability to score, and Botafogo's frequent second-half goal-scoring.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over their last 5 matches, Fluminense averages 2.8 corners, and Botafogo 3.2, totaling 6. Fluminense has seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Botafogo in 3 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.12, under 9.5 at 1.68. This total seems high relative to the teams' averages, but given Botafogo's three instances of over 9.5, a cautious bet on under 9.5 corners might be interesting. Overall, both teams don't show high corner activity, so a large number of corners is not expected.