Prediction for match Fluminense — Corinthians

Fluminense vs Corinthians Match Analysis

In Brazil's Serie A, Fluminense will face Corinthians on April 2nd. Fluminense is the favorite in this matchup: their victory is priced at 1.96, a draw at 3.33, and a Corinthians win at 4.32. The implied probabilities are 48.96% for a Fluminense win, 28.82% for a draw, and 22.22% for a Corinthians win. These odds reflect Fluminense's edge, but the gap isn't overwhelming, suggesting a potentially competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at ball possession stats, Fluminense holds the ball for an average of 59% over their last 5 matches, while Corinthians averages 63.4%. Fluminense receives 2.4 yellow cards per game, compared to Corinthians' 2.2. Fouls are recorded at 14.4 for Fluminense and 13 for Corinthians, with offsides at 1.8 and 1.4, respectively. In their last three matches, Fluminense played: March 21 - Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro - 1-0, March 19 - Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense - 3-2, March 15 - Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense - 3-2. Corinthians' recent results are: March 22 - Corinthians vs Flamengo - 1-1, March 20 - Chapecoense vs Corinthians - 0-0, March 15 - Santos vs Corinthians - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on September 14, 2025, Corinthians defeated Fluminense 1-0.

Goals in the Fluminense vs Corinthians Match

Fluminense averages 2.6 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. Corinthians is less prolific, averaging 1.4 goals per game, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1. Fluminense has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Corinthians hasn't in any, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games for Corinthians. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for Fluminense and 2 out of 5 for Corinthians, while in the second half, it was 2 out of 5 for Fluminense and none for Corinthians. Fluminense tends to score late (76-90 minutes, 43%), while Corinthians scores most often between 16-30 minutes (67%). For goals conceded, Fluminense is vulnerable early (0-15 minutes, 33%) and mid-second half (61-75 minutes, 33%), while Corinthians' concessions are evenly spread across four half-hour intervals. Given Corinthians' low scoring and Fluminense's moderate scoring, betting on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Fluminense averages 4.8 corners over their last 5 matches, while Corinthians averages 5.2. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 2 of Fluminense's last 5 matches and 3 of Corinthians'. Given the average corner numbers (10), the line at 9.5 corners is close: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.89. Fluminense is favored in corners with odds of 1.50. Considering both teams' average corner activity, a total around 9.5 corners appears a reasonable betting option.