On November 20, a crucial clash in Brazil's Serie A will take place between Fluminense and Flamengo. According to the betting odds, Flamengo is favored: their victory is priced at 2.09, while a draw is at 3.22, and a win for Fluminense is at 3.96. The 1X2 probabilities are as follows: Flamengo - 45.94%, Draw - 29.82%, Fluminense - 24.25%. With this distribution, the bookmakers give a significant edge to the visitors, although the percentage for a draw is also quite high, adding intrigue. Expectations regarding goal scoring are expressed in the total goals odds: Over 2.5 is at 2.42, and Under 2.5 is at 1.59.
In their last five matches, Fluminense had an average possession of 53.8%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 17 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides per game. Flamengo's stats are as follows: possession - 60.6%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 11.4, offsides - 0.8. Fluminense's recent results: 09.11 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0-0, 06.11 Fluminense - Mirassol 1-0, 02.11 Ceara - Fluminense 2-0. During the same period, Flamengo played: 15.11 Sport Recife - Flamengo 1-5, 09.11 Flamengo - Santos 3-2, 06.11 Sao Paulo - Flamengo 2-2. In their head-to-head on 20.07.2025, Flamengo defeated Fluminense 1-0, with the total not exceeding 2.5.
Fluminense has minimal figures in their five-match series: their average number of goals per match is 1, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.4 per game. In the same period, Flamengo's average total is 3.6, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1 goal. Fluminense did not surpass the over 2.5 total in any match (0 out of 5), while Flamengo did so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Fluminense did not exceed more than 1.5 goals in any match (0 out of 5), while Flamengo did in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Fluminense also did not show high scoring (0 out of 5), while Flamengo exceeded in 4 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals, Fluminense most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each), while Flamengo scores mostly between the 46th-60th minutes (30%). Flamengo concedes most frequently between the 61st-75th minutes (44%). Considering Fluminense's low scoring and Flamengo's high attacking potential, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems justified.
Fluminense averaged 5 corners in their last five matches, while Flamengo averaged 8. Regarding the over 9.5 corners total, Fluminense achieved it 1 out of 5 times, while Flamengo did so 4 out of 5 times. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.55, and for under, it's 2.36. Flamengo's victory in corners is priced at 1.75. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on Flamengo's individual total corners over 4.5, which is at 1.63, or the overall total over 8.5. The advantage in corners for Flamengo is consistent, as evidenced by frequent overs.
Sportwars.net Prediction for Fluminense vs Flamengo, 2025-11-20 - Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.59. Exact score: 0:1, odds 5.50.


