Prediction for match Fluminense — Mirassol, 06.11.2025

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs. Mirassol

On November 6th, in Brazil's Serie A, Fluminense will face Mirassol. According to the odds, Fluminense is the favorite with odds of 1.90, a draw is priced at 3.30, and a win for Mirassol is at 4.50. The probability distribution suggests: Fluminense win - 50.05%, draw - 28.82%, Mirassol win - 21.13%. Betting on the home team appears attractive, but the gap between a win and a draw isn't huge, adding extra intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fluminense has averaged 58.8% possession, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and been caught offside 0.8 times per game. Mirassol's stats are slightly more modest: 53.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. Looking at their recent games: Fluminense played Ceará on November 2nd (0-2), again on October 29th (1-0), and Internacional on October 25th (1-0). Mirassol met Botafogo on November 1st (0-0), defeated Sport Recife on October 25th (2-1), and thrashed São Paulo on October 19th (3-0). In their head-to-head on October 9th, Mirassol was victorious over Fluminense with a 2-1 scoreline, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Fluminense has not seen a total over 2.5 goals (0 out of 5), whereas Mirassol has had it occur 4 times out of 5. In the first half, Fluminense has not had more than 1.5 goals, while Mirassol has achieved this 3 times. In the second half, Fluminense also has 0 occurrences of over 1.5 goals, with Mirassol doing so once in 5 matches. On average, Fluminense scores 0.6 and concedes 0.8, while Mirassol scores 2 and concedes 0.6 per match. Fluminense most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while Mirassol scores most often between the 31st-45th minutes (44%). Mirassol also concedes most often between the 46th-60th minutes (50%). In this encounter, it's expected that Mirassol will continue to play effectively, while Fluminense will try to hold their ground. The most logical bet is on the total over 2.5 goals, priced at 2.15.

Corner Totals Analysis

Fluminense averages 6.4 corners per game, while Mirassol averages 4.6. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams. The line for the match sets the total corners over 10 at odds of 1.82, under 10 at 1.98. Fluminense winning the corner count is priced at 1.62. Considering both teams' corner stats, a bet on over 10 corners seems justified, but betting on Fluminense to win the corner count also makes sense.