Prediction for match Fluminense — Sao Paulo, 28.11.2025

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo

In the Brazilian Serie A on November 27, Fluminense will face Sao Paulo. The odds for Fluminense to win are 1.89, a draw is at 3.26, and a victory for Sao Paulo is priced at 4.83. According to probabilities, Fluminense has a 50.73% chance, a draw 29.41%, and Sao Paulo 19.85%. Fluminense is the favorite, but the gap with a draw is not critical, as reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fluminense averages 51.2% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 18.2 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides per match. Sao Paulo also averages 51.2% possession, with 2.4 yellows, 14 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In Fluminense’s last three matches: Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense on 23.11, Cruzeiro 0-0 Fluminense on 09.11, Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol on 06.11. For Sao Paulo: Sao Paulo 2-1 Juventude on 23.11, Corinthians 3-1 Sao Paulo on 20.11, Sao Paulo 0-1 RB Bragantino on 09.11. Their last head-to-head was on 27.07.2025: Sao Paulo 3-1 Fluminense (Over 2.5 goals was successful).

Goals by Match Statistics

Regarding the over/under 2.5 goals, Fluminense has not hit over in their last five matches: 0 out of 5 over 2.5, whereas Sao Paulo has 3 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, Fluminense has 0 out of 5 over 1.5, Sao Paulo 1 out of 5. In the second half, Fluminense again 0 out of 5, Sao Paulo 3 out of 5 over 1.5. On average, Fluminense scores 0.4 and concedes 0.4, while Sao Paulo scores and concedes 1.4 per match. Fluminense's average total is just 0.8, Sao Paulo's is 2.8. Scoring intervals: Fluminense most often scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), Sao Paulo between 76-90 minutes (57%). Sao Paulo also concedes most frequently between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Fluminense appears very cautious, with low-scoring matches, whereas Sao Paulo plays more openly. In this scenario, betting on Under 2.5 goals at 1.56 seems logical - Fluminense's low scoring and Sao Paulo's only attacking bias.

Corners in the Match

Fluminense averages 5 corners per match, Sao Paulo 4.6. In the last five matches, both teams had 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners. For this match, the line offers over 9.5 corners at 1.89 and under 9.5 at 1.79. Based on average activity, it’s more logical to consider a total corners closer to 9-10, but there are no clear signs of a strong over pattern. For corners outcome, Fluminense is the favorite at 1.52 odds. It's optimal to consider a bet on a moderate total corners, not exceeding 10-11.