Prediction for match Fluminense — Vasco da Gama, 15.12.2025

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama

In the Copa Do Brasil on December 14, 2025, Fluminense will face Vasco da Gama. The odds for a Fluminense victory are 1.79, a draw is at 3.45, and a win for Vasco da Gama is 4.57. The probabilities are: 52.34% for a Fluminense win, 27.16% for a draw, and 20.50% for a Vasco da Gama win. These figures highlight Fluminense as the most likely winner, but a draw is also a considerable possibility. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the balance of power, considering the odds for the total goals over 2.5 are at 2.17 and under 1.67.

Team Statistics and Scores

Average stats over a five-match series: Fluminense has 48.8% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and records 1 offside per game. Vasco da Gama shows 47% possession, 1.4 yellows, 10.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Fluminense: lost 1-2 to Vasco da Gama on December 11, won 2-0 against Bahia on December 7, and beat Gremio 2-1 on December 3. Vasco da Gama: defeated Fluminense 2-1 on December 11, suffered a heavy 0-5 loss to Atletico Mineiro on December 7, and lost 0-2 to Mirassol on December 2. The last head-to-head between these teams ended 2-1 in favor of Vasco da Gama on December 11, 2025.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama

In a five-match series, Fluminense averages 2.8 goals per game, while Vasco da Gama averages 3.4. Fluminense scores 2.2 and concedes 0.6, Vasco da Gama scores 1.4 and concedes 2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Fluminense had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, while Vasco da Gama had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams show high scoring rates: 4 out of 5 over 1.5. The most frequent goal interval for Fluminense is the 76-90th minute (36%), for Vasco da Gama it's 46-60 and 61-75 (31% each). Regarding goals conceded: Fluminense most often concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (67%), while Vasco da Gama's distribution is 25% across four intervals. All these data indicate a pronounced scoring tendency in the second half and a propensity for both teams to exceed the over totals. The average goals for both teams support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.17, considering both teams regularly play high-scoring games, especially in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Average values over five matches: Fluminense takes 4 corners, Vasco da Gama 4.6. In their last five matches, both teams recorded over 9.5 corners 3 times. The total closest to the average sum is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are not specified, nor for under 9.5. Based on the frequency of over 9.5 corners and average values, both teams tend to play actively near the opponent's goal. A victory in corners is not highlighted, as both teams take approximately the same amount. It seems logical to expect 9-10 corners in this match, with a slight edge for Vasco da Gama based on averages.