Prediction for match Fortuna Sittard — NAC Breda

Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda

In the Dutch Eredivisie on April 12, Fortuna Sittard will face NAC Breda. The odds are nearly even: a win for Fortuna Sittard is at 2.61, for NAC Breda at 2.66, and a draw is at 3.54. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Fortuna Sittard - 36.79%, NAC Breda - 36.09%, draw - 27.12%. This indicates that the bookmakers do not see a clear favorite and expect a fairly open and high-scoring match. Among the markets with odds not lower than 1.50, the most interesting bet is on "both teams to score" at 1.53.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Fortuna Sittard had an average possession of 42.6%, recorded 1.8 yellow cards, committed 10.2 fouls, and had 1 offside per game. NAC Breda's averages are: possession 49.8%, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Fortuna Sittard played as follows: 04.04.2026 - AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard 2-0, 21.03.2026 - Fortuna Sittard - Twente 1-2, 14.03.2026 - Volendam - Fortuna Sittard 1-2. NAC Breda's last three games: 05.04.2026 - NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 0-0, 21.03.2026 - Zwolle - NAC Breda 2-1, 15.03.2026 - Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda 6-0. In their last head-to-head meeting on 17.08.2025, NAC Breda won against Fortuna Sittard 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have an average total of 3.6 goals per match, indicating high scoring potential. Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.4 goals per game, conceding 2.2, while NAC Breda scores 0.8 and concedes 2.8. For the total over 2.5 goals, both teams have 4 out of 5 matches over. In the first half, Fortuna Sittard has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, NAC Breda has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Fortuna Sittard has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, NAC Breda 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Fortuna Sittard most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (43%) and concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (36%). NAC Breda scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (36%), with conceded goals evenly distributed across four intervals at 25% each. All of this suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring: "both teams to score" at 1.53 seems a logical choice, considering Fortuna Sittard's attacking profile and NAC Breda's defensive issues.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Fortuna Sittard earns 4.6 corners per game, while NAC Breda earns 6.6, totaling 11.2. In the last five matches, Fortuna Sittard recorded a total of over 9.5 corners in 3 cases, NAC Breda in 4. Among the totals with two outcomes, the closest to this sum is the total of 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.03, under 10.5 at 1.65. For corner outcomes, NAC Breda is favored with odds of 1.98. Considering the high average for corners and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners, as well as paying attention to NAC Breda's advantage in this aspect.