Prediction for match Frosinone — Empoli

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on February 20, Frosinone faces Empoli. A win for Frosinone is at 2.00, a draw at 3.48, and a victory for Empoli at 3.58. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Frosinone - 46.87%, draw - 26.94%, Empoli - 26.19%. Frosinone is the favorite here, but the difference between the teams doesn't seem overwhelming, which is reflected in both the odds and percentages. The match promises to be quite competitive, considering the balance of power in key metrics.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Frosinone had 49.6% possession, averaged 1.6 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Empoli held the ball 50% of the time, received 2 yellow cards, committed 13.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides over the same period. In their last three matches, Frosinone: 15.02.2026 - Spezia vs Frosinone 0-2, 11.02.2026 - Avellino vs Frosinone 1-3, 07.02.2026 - Frosinone vs Venezia 1-2. For Empoli: 15.02.2026 - Empoli vs Reggiana 1-1, 11.02.2026 - Empoli vs Juve Stabia 1-2, 07.02.2026 - Palermo vs Empoli 3-2. The last head-to-head encounter was on 27.12.2025: Empoli vs Frosinone 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Frosinone averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Empoli scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. The overall average total goals are 2.4 for Frosinone and 2.6 for Empoli. In Frosinone's last five matches, the total over 2.5 occurred 2 times, under - 3 times. For Empoli, the total over 2.5 was 3 times, under - 2. By halves: both teams had totals over 1.5 in the second half 3 out of 5 times, and only once in the first half. Frosinone most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Empoli scores most often in the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (each 25%). In terms of goals conceded: Frosinone concedes most often in the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (each 25%), Empoli in the 61-75 interval (40%). Considering Frosinone's good balance of goals scored and conceded, and Empoli's noticeable defensive issues, a bet on total over 2.5 at 1.86 seems justified. Frosinone consistently scores, and Empoli frequently concedes, which could lead to a high-scoring match. Additionally, both teams tend to be active in the second half, further supporting the choice for an over total.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Frosinone averages 7 corners per match, Empoli - 6.4. Over a five-match series, Frosinone's total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times, Empoli's - 1 time. The closest total to the sum of averages is 13.4, but the line offers odds on lower values. For a corner total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 at 1.81, under 9.5 at 1.87. In terms of corner outcomes, Frosinone is the favorite with odds of 1.53. Considering both teams frequently take corners, it's logical to consider the option for total over 9.5. Also, note that Frosinone consistently achieves a high figure in this component, with Empoli only slightly behind. Overall, the match could be rich in set-pieces, especially if it proceeds end-to-end.