Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Heidenheim, 13.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga match between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim will take place on January 13, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Mainz 05 is favored to win at 1.69, a draw is priced at 3.90, and a Heidenheim victory is at 5.99. The probability percentages are as follows: Mainz 05 - 58.29%, draw - 25.26%, Heidenheim - 16.45%. This setup confirms Mainz 05 as the clear favorite, but the likelihood of a draw is also significant. In the goals total market, the odds for under 2.5 goals are at 1.91, making this option attractive for the main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mainz 05 has an average possession of 38%, recording 1.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Heidenheim's averages are higher: 48% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Mainz 05 played as follows: January 10 - Union Berlin - Mainz 05 - 2-2, December 21 - Mainz 05 - St. Pauli - 0-0, December 18 - Mainz 05 - Samsunspor - 2-0. Heidenheim's last three results: January 10 - Heidenheim - Cologne - 2-2, December 21 - Heidenheim - Bayern Munich - 0-4, December 13 - St. Pauli - Heidenheim - 2-1. Their last head-to-head match was on February 16, 2025: Heidenheim - Mainz 05 - 0-2.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Mainz 05 had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. All five of Heidenheim's matches ended with over 2.5 goals. On average, Mainz 05 scores 1.4 and concedes 1 goal per game, with a total average of 2.4. Heidenheim scores 1.4 but concedes 2, leading to a total average of 3.4. By halves, Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half twice in five matches. Heidenheim had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half four times. Mainz 05 most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (43%) and concedes between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Heidenheim most frequently scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each) and concedes mostly at the end (76-90, 40%). Despite Heidenheim's scoring ability, Mainz 05 tends to have low-scoring profiles, and their head-to-head matches often reflect this restrained nature. Overall, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical given the current balance of attacking and defensive metrics for both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Mainz 05 records 4 corners and Heidenheim 5.8 over five matches. In a series of five games, Mainz 05 had over 9.5 corners once, and Heidenheim three times. The closest total to their averages is 9.5, with the odds for over 9.5 corners at 1.93 and under 9.5 at 1.78. Mainz 05 is the favorite to win in corners with odds of 1.38. Given Heidenheim's higher average corners and more frequent over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners is justified for this match. Additionally, considering Mainz 05's status as the favorite by odds, a bet on them to win in corners can also be considered.