Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Borussia M, 05.12.2025

Match Analysis: Mainz 05 vs Borussia M

On Friday, December 5th, Mainz 05 will face Borussia M in the Bundesliga. The odds for a Mainz 05 victory are 2.56, for a Borussia M win - 2.88, and for a draw - 3.60. Probability-wise: 38.46% for Mainz 05, 34.19% for Borussia M, and 27.35% for a draw. Based on the odds and percentages, bookmakers don't see a clear favorite, but Mainz 05 is slightly favored.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Mainz 05 had an average possession of 43%, with 3 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Borussia M shows 44% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent matches for Mainz 05: 30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 05 4-0, 27.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Mainz 05 1-0, 21.11.2025 Mainz 05 - Hoffenheim 1-1. Borussia M's last three matches: 02.12.2025 Borussia M - St. Pauli 1-2, 28.11.2025 Borussia M - RB Leipzig 0-0, 22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia M 0-3. In their head-to-head on March 7, 2025, Borussia M lost to Mainz 05 with a score of 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Mainz 05 has an average total of 2.2 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Borussia M has an average total of 2.8, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6. Mainz 05 had over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches, while Borussia M had it in 4 of 5. By halves: Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals in the first half only 1 of 5 times, in the second half - 2 of 5; Borussia M had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, in the second half - 4 of 5. Mainz 05 most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), while Borussia M splits peaks between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each). Mainz 05 concedes most often in the first 30 minutes (50% in both intervals), while Borussia M concedes late (76th-90th, 40%). In this situation, a bet on both teams to score seems justified: Borussia M is highly effective, Mainz 05 has defensive issues, and the odds for both to score: yes is 1.55.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Mainz 05 averages 4.2 corners over 5 matches, while Borussia M averages 3. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for each team. The closest average total is 7.5, with two betting options: total corners over 7.5 at 1.20, under 7.5 at 3.85. For corners outcome: Mainz 05 is at 1.41, Borussia M at 3.80. Statistically, both teams don't stand out in corners, often showing low values, so a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical without considering the odds.