Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Augsburg, 07.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the upcoming Bundesliga match between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, scheduled for February 7, 2026, the betting odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Mainz 05 to win is priced at 2.13, a draw at 3.68, and Augsburg to win at 3.64. According to the probability percentages, Mainz 05 has a 46.21% chance, a draw 26.75%, and Augsburg 27.04%. Thus, Mainz 05 is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, although the difference between the teams isn't overwhelming. These values reflect the balance of power but also suggest that bookmakers expect a competitive game with potential success for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mainz 05 has an average possession of 42.6%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Augsburg, in the same period, shows 43% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and also records 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Mainz 05 defeated RB Leipzig 2-1 (January 31), beat Wolfsburg 3-1 (January 24), and lost to Köln 1-2 (January 17). Augsburg, in their last three outings, defeated St. Pauli 2-1 (January 31), beat Bayern 2-1 (January 24), and drew with Freiburg 2-2 (January 18). The last encounter between these teams took place on September 20, 2025, when Augsburg lost to Mainz 05 with a score of 1-4.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, both teams have shown a high level of scoring. Mainz 05 averages 3.4 goals per match, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1.4. Augsburg has an average total of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. In a series of five matches, Mainz 05 surpassed the total over 2.5 goals all five times, while Augsburg did so in 4 out of 5. By halves, Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 out of 5 times, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Augsburg had both halves over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5. For goal intervals, Mainz 05 most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (36%), and concedes in the intervals 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Augsburg most often scores in the intervals 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (30% each), and concedes in the final stages - 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). These indicators confirm that both teams tend to have high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Considering the over 2.5 goals trend for both sides and high average goals, it's logical to consider betting on over 2.5 goals, priced at 1.89.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Mainz 05 earns 5.6 corners per game, while Augsburg earns 4.4, totaling 10. In their last five matches, Mainz 05 surpassed the over 9.5 corners total 2 times, and Augsburg 3 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.84, under 9.5 at 1.90. For the corner outcome, Mainz 05 is the favorite with odds of 1.50. Considering both teams' average activity and the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 total, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given the attacking style of both teams and their tendency to play on the wings.