Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Fiorentina

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 6, 2025, a UEFA Conference League match will take place between Mainz 05 and Fiorentina. The odds are as follows: a win for Mainz 05 is priced at 2.20, a draw at 3.25, and a win for Fiorentina at 3.30. In percentage terms, the distribution is as follows: Mainz 05 - 42.67%, draw - 28.88%, Fiorentina - 28.45%. Mainz 05 appears slightly favored, but the gap in probabilities between the teams is not large.

Recent Match Performances

In their last five matches, Mainz 05 has averaged 48.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 3 offsides. Fiorentina has averaged 50.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Recent results for Mainz 05: 01.11.2025 - Mainz 05 vs Werder 1-1, 29.10.2025 - Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart 0-2, 26.10.2025 - Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 2-1. Fiorentina's recent results: 02.11.2025 - Fiorentina vs Lecce 0-1, 29.10.2025 - Inter vs Fiorentina 3-0, 26.10.2025 - Fiorentina vs Bologna 2-2. There have been no head-to-head encounters this season.

Goal Statistics

In their last five games, Mainz 05 saw over 2.5 goals in 2 matches, while Fiorentina had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, while Fiorentina had none. In the second half, Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, and Fiorentina in 4 out of 5. The average total goals over 5 matches for Mainz 05 is 3, and for Fiorentina, it's 2.8. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.8 and Fiorentina 1.6. Mainz 05 most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), while Fiorentina scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (57%). For goals conceded, Mainz 05 is vulnerable in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while Fiorentina is most vulnerable from the 46th to the 60th minute (43%). The current trends in totals and halves suggest that considering over 2.5 goals, priced at 2.08, is logical.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners over 5 matches for Mainz 05 is 3.6, and for Fiorentina, it's 4.4. The over 9.5 corners were hit once in 5 matches for Mainz 05 and twice for Fiorentina. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.73, for under 9 corners are 1.80, for under 8.5 are 2.00, and for over 9 are also 2.00. A win on corners for Mainz 05 is priced at 1.73, and for Fiorentina at 2.40. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequency of overs, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems moderately justified, but there is no high frequency of overs in the last 5 matches. Individually, Mainz 05 has a lower average number of corners than Fiorentina.