Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Strasbourg

Match Analysis: Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg

The Conference League will host a clash between Mainz 05 and Strasbourg on April 9th. According to the 1X2 odds, Mainz 05 are the favorites with odds of 2.12, while a win for Strasbourg is priced at 3.53, and a draw at 3.62. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Mainz 05 win - 45.74%, draw - 26.79%, Strasbourg win - 27.47%. This indicates an advantage for Mainz 05, but Strasbourg is not seen as a clear underdog.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mainz 05 has an average possession of 41.2%, receiving 1.4 yellow cards, committing 10.2 fouls, and 3.6 offsides per match. Strasbourg has a higher possession at 57.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent results for Mainz 05: 04.04.2026 Hoffenheim - Mainz 05 1-2, 22.03.2026 Mainz 05 - Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1, 19.03.2026 Mainz 05 - Sigma Olomouc 2-0. For Strasbourg: 04.04.2026 Strasbourg - Nice 3-1, 22.03.2026 Nantes - Strasbourg 2-3, 19.03.2026 Strasbourg - Rijeka 1-1. Their last encounter on 09.08.2025 ended in a 0-0 draw.

Goal Predictions for Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg

Over the past five matches, Mainz 05 averages 2 goals per game, while Strasbourg averages 2.8. Mainz 05 scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 0.4, whereas Strasbourg scores 1.8 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, Mainz 05 has seen this in 2 out of 5 matches, and Strasbourg in 3 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred twice for both teams, and in the second half, once for Mainz 05 and twice for Strasbourg. Mainz 05 often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (40%), and Strasbourg between the 31st and 45th minute (29%). Mainz 05 concedes most frequently in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Strasbourg's most dangerous period is the 76th to 90th minute (43%). Both teams show attacking potential: both have an average of more than 1.5 goals scored, and Strasbourg's matches approach a total of 3 goals. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems justified, considering the regular occurrence of this total in both teams' series and Strasbourg's high scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last 5 games, Mainz 05 averages 3.8 corners, while Strasbourg averages 5.2. For over 9.5 corners: Mainz 05 has seen this in 2 out of 5 matches, Strasbourg in 4 out of 5. Considering the combined average corners of both teams (9), the closest line is the total corners 9.5. The odds for this total are: over 9.5 - 2.01, under 9.5 - 1.73. Given this statistic, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 corners option, as Strasbourg consistently delivers many corners, and Mainz 05 can keep up the pace. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set-pieces, especially from Strasbourg.