Prediction for match Mainz 05 — Stuttgart, 29.10.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the DFB Pokal, Mainz 05 will face Stuttgart on October 29, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, Stuttgart is considered the favorite with odds of 2.15 and a probability of 43.65%. Mainz 05 is given odds of 3.10 with a probability of 30.28%, while a draw is priced at 3.60 with a 26.07% probability. These figures indicate Stuttgart's advantage in pre-match expectations, but the gap between the teams is not critical.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mainz 05 has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded, with a total average of 3.2 goals in their games. Stuttgart also averages 1.2 goals scored but concedes significantly fewer at 0.8, with an overall match total of exactly 2 goals. Mainz 05 averages 5.2 corners per game, while Stuttgart averages 6.4. In their last five encounters, Mainz 05 defeated Zrinjski 1-0 (23.10.2025), lost to Bayer 3-4 (18.10.2025), and beat Omonia Nicosia 1-0 (02.10.2025). During this period, Stuttgart achieved a big win over Wolfsburg 3-0 (18.10.2025) and narrowly beat Heidenheim 1-0 (05.10.2025). In head-to-head matches, Stuttgart holds the advantage: in their last game on 26.10.2025, they won 2-1, with previous results being 2-0, 3-3, 3-1, and 1-3, indicating regular high-scoring matches between these opponents.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of totals over 5 matches, Mainz 05 had over 2.5 goals in three games, while Stuttgart had it twice. The average goals for both teams: Mainz 05 - 3.2, Stuttgart - 2.0. In the first half, Mainz 05 had over 1.5 goals three times, Stuttgart twice. In the second half, both teams more often recorded under 1.5. In terms of goal timing, Mainz 05 most frequently scored in the periods 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (each 20%), while Stuttgart scored in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (each 33%). Goals conceded by Mainz 05 often occurred in the 31-45 interval (33%), and for Stuttgart, the same interval accounted for 60%. This suggests both teams' activity towards the end of halves, but Stuttgart's overall scoring pace is noticeably lower than their opponent's.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Mainz 05 averages 5.2 corners per game, while Stuttgart averages 6.4. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Mainz 05 and in 4 out of 5 for Stuttgart. The odds for over 10 corners are 1.82, and for under 10, it's 1.98. In terms of corner outcomes, Mainz 05 is the favorite with odds of 1.95. These figures suggest a high likelihood of numerous set-pieces in this encounter.