Prediction for match Mainz 05 — VfL Wolfsburg, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcomes

In the Bundesliga on January 24, 2026, Mainz 05 will face VfL Wolfsburg. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Mainz 05 win at 2.43, draw at 3.60, and a Wolfsburg victory at 3.07. The probability percentages are: Mainz 05 - 40.54%, draw - 27.37%, Wolfsburg - 32.09%. These figures show a moderate advantage for Mainz 05, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The market also offers options on totals and both teams to score, but the 1X2 outcome stands out for its balance of odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Mainz 05 has played as follows: on January 17, they lost to Köln 1-2, on January 13, they defeated Heidenheim 2-1, and on January 10, they drew with Union Berlin 2-2. During the same period, Wolfsburg had the following results: on January 17, a 1-1 draw with Heidenheim, on January 14, a 2-1 victory over St. Pauli, and on January 11, a heavy 1-8 defeat to Bayern Munich. In a five-match series, Mainz 05 averages 44.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Wolfsburg's stats are 52% possession, 1.6 yellows, 10 fouls, and 2 offsides. The last head-to-head encounter took place on August 31, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Mainz 05 has seen over 2.5 goals 3 times and under 2.5 goals 2 times. Wolfsburg, in this span, has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 matches and under in 1. The average number of goals in Mainz 05's games is 2.4, while Wolfsburg's is 5. In terms of scoring: Mainz 05 scores 1.4, Wolfsburg scores 2, goals conceded: 1 and 3 respectively. In the first half, Mainz 05 has not seen over 1.5 goals, while Wolfsburg has seen it 4 times out of 5. In the second half, Mainz 05 has seen over 1.5 goals 3 times, Wolfsburg 2 times. Goal intervals: Mainz 05 scores most frequently between 46-60 minutes (38%) and 76-90 minutes (38%), and concedes between 16-30 minutes (50%). Wolfsburg is most prolific at the end - 76-90 minutes (27%), and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (30%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 30%). Both clubs show a tendency towards high-scoring matches, especially Wolfsburg, with an average total of 5 goals and over 2.5 goals occurring 4 out of 5 times. Mainz 05 also supports an over-profile, making a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 a logical choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

Mainz 05 averages 4.8 corners per game, Wolfsburg 4.6. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for both teams. Among the presented corner totals, the line of 9.5 is closest to the sum of the averages (9.4): total corners over 9.5 is at 1.70, under 9.5 is at 2.03. For the corner outcome, Mainz 05 is the favorite with odds of 1.48. In their current form, both teams are capable of maintaining corner activity, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given their average figures.