Prediction for match Galatasaray — Fenerbahce

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig on 26.04.2026, Galatasaray faces Fenerbahce. The odds for a Galatasaray win are 2.32, a draw is priced at 3.28, and a Fenerbahce victory is at 3.39. The probability percentages for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Galatasaray - 41.81%, draw - 29.57%, Fenerbahce - 28.61%. Based on these figures, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite, but the difference is not significant, which is also reflected in the recent performance statistics of both teams. The bookmakers' expectations for total goals are also high: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.69, both teams to score - yes is at 1.49, and no is at 2.44. This highlights a prediction for a high-scoring match with goals likely from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Galatasaray has averaged 59% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Over the same period, Fenerbahce has averaged 61.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Galatasaray's last three matches were: 18.04.2026 Genclerbirligi - Galatasaray 1-2, 12.04.2026 Galatasaray - Kocaelispor 1-1, 08.04.2026 Goztepe - Galatasaray 1-3. Fenerbahce's last three matches were: 17.04.2026 Fenerbahce - Rizespor 2-2, 11.04.2026 Kayserispor - Fenerbahce 0-4, 05.04.2026 Fenerbahce - Besiktas 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 10.01.2026, Galatasaray lost to Fenerbahce 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have been showing high scoring rates: Galatasaray's average goals per match over the last 5 games is 3.2, and Fenerbahce's is also 3.2. Galatasaray scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1.8, while Fenerbahce scores 2.2 and concedes 1. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 Galatasaray matches and in 3 out of 5 Fenerbahce matches. In the first half, Galatasaray had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Fenerbahce in 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Galatasaray most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each), while Fenerbahce scores most often between the 76th-90th minutes (44%). Galatasaray concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (29%) and between the 61st-75th (29%), while Fenerbahce concedes between the 46th-60th (43%). This profile suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring and overall high scoring, making a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.52 an optimal choice given the current statistics.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Galatasaray earns 4.4 corners per game, while Fenerbahce gets 9.4, totaling 13.8. Over 5 matches, Galatasaray had over 9.5 corners once, while Fenerbahce had it 4 times. Among the available totals, 9.5 is closest to the average sum: over 9.5 is at 1.83, under 9.5 is at 1.85. In terms of corners, Galatasaray is favored with odds of 1.76. Considering that Fenerbahce consistently earns many corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. It's also worth noting that Galatasaray often plays under 9.5, while Fenerbahce tends to go over, adding interest to corner bets in this match.