Prediction for match Galatasaray — Istanbul Basaksehir

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Turkish Süper Lig on 14.03.2026, Galatasaray will face Istanbul Basaksehir. The odds for the match are as follows: Galatasaray win at 1.71, draw at 4.47, and Istanbul Basaksehir win at 4.52. In terms of probability, Galatasaray has a 56.79% chance of winning, a draw is at 21.73%, and Istanbul Basaksehir has a 21.48% chance. Galatasaray is considered the favorite according to these numbers. These figures indicate that both bookmakers and statistics lean towards Galatasaray, but the difference between a draw and an Istanbul Basaksehir win is minimal. Overall, the match promises to be a competitive one, considering the current form and attacking potential of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Galatasaray defeated Liverpool 1-0 (10.03.2026), won against Besiktas 1-0 (07.03.2026), and beat Alanyaspor 3-1 (28.02.2026). Istanbul Basaksehir, in their last three games, won against Goztepe 2-1 (07.03.2026), overcame Konyaspor 2-0 (27.02.2026), and defeated Alanyaspor 2-1 (21.02.2026). Their last head-to-head ended with a 1-0 victory for Galatasaray (18.12.2025). Over a five-match period, Galatasaray averages 52% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 3.4 offsides per game. Istanbul Basaksehir shows 53.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These stats reflect the high intensity and discipline of both teams, as well as their active play in both attack and defense.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Galatasaray vs Istanbul Basaksehir Match

In Galatasaray’s last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, and under 2.5 goals occurred three times. For Istanbul Basaksehir, the total over 2.5 was recorded four times, under - once. Galatasaray averages 2.6 goals scored and conceded per game, while Istanbul Basaksehir averages 3.2. Galatasaray scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1.2, whereas Istanbul Basaksehir scores 2 and concedes 1.2. In terms of halves, Galatasaray has not had over 1.5 goals in the first half but has seen it three times in the second half out of five. Istanbul Basaksehir had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and the same in the second half. Galatasaray most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%) and concedes evenly between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (50% each). Istanbul Basaksehir scores most often from the 61st to 75th minute (38%) and concedes from the 31st to 45th minute (38%). Considering Istanbul Basaksehir’s high scoring rate, the decent average totals of both teams, and frequent over 2.5 totals for Istanbul Basaksehir, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is logical. However, the main prediction is both teams to score: yes at 1.58, as both teams show consistent scoring ability, and the average goal stats support this bet.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams average the same number of corners - 4.6 per game over a five-match series. In the last five matches, Galatasaray exceeded the total corners over 9.5 three times, while Istanbul Basaksehir did so once. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5, with odds for over 9.5 at 1.83 and under 9.5 at 1.85. Galatasaray is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.30. Considering that Galatasaray often exceeds the total over 9.5 and both teams average a sufficient number of corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, though a lower count is also possible if the game is cautious.