Prediction for match Galatasaray — Trabzonspor

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Galatasaray and Trabzonspor will face off on January 5, 2026, in the Turkish Super Cup. In the 1X2 odds market, Galatasaray is the favorite with odds of 1.66 for their victory, a draw is at 3.94, and a Trabzonspor win is priced at 4.74. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Galatasaray win - 56.45%, draw - 23.78%, Trabzonspor win - 19.77%. This setup reflects confidence in Galatasaray's strength, but Trabzonspor could surprise, considering their attacking potential in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Galatasaray has maintained 58.8% possession, averaged 2.2 cautions, committed 13.8 fouls, and been caught offside 1.4 times per game. Trabzonspor holds the ball 63.6% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside twice. In their last three games, Galatasaray defeated Kasimpasa 3-0 (21.12.2025), thrashed Antalyaspor 4-1 (13.12.2025), and lost to Monaco 0-1 (09.12.2025). Trabzonspor played a 3-4 thriller with Genclerbirligi (22.12.2025), drew 3-3 with Besiktas (14.12.2025), and beat Goztepe 2-1 (07.12.2025). The last head-to-head encounter on November 1, 2025, ended in a goalless draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Galatasaray's last five games, the over 2.5 goals line was surpassed three times, while two games went under. Trabzonspor's last five matches all ended with over 2.5 goals. By halves, Galatasaray saw over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and four times in the second. Trabzonspor had over 1.5 goals in the first half four times, and all five games were high-scoring in the second half. On average, Galatasaray scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1, while Trabzonspor scores 3 and concedes 2.4. The overall average total is 3.2 for Galatasaray and 5.4 for Trabzonspor. Galatasaray most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Trabzonspor scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (29%). In terms of goals conceded, Galatasaray has three equal intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and Trabzonspor concedes most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (31%). This data suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, with both teams demonstrating a tendency for goals, especially Trabzonspor, where the over 2.5 goals line was hit in all 5 matches. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems optimal.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Galatasaray averages 4 corners per game, while Trabzonspor averages 6. In the last five matches, both teams hit the over 9.5 corners line three times. Considering the average corner total (10), the closest line is 9.5. The over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.91, and under 9.5 at 1.81. Both teams tend to play actively in the opponent's half, as evidenced by the frequent occurrence of the over corner total. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the attacking style of both teams and their recent match statistics.