Prediction for match Genk — Brugge, 26.12.2025

Match Analysis: Genk vs Brugge

In the Jupiler Pro League on December 26, Genk will face Brugge. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are distributed as follows: a Brugge win is priced at 2.28 with a probability of 41.83%, a Genk victory is at 3.04 with a probability of 31.37%, and a draw is at 3.56 with 26.79%. Bookmakers lean towards Brugge, considering their stable performance in recent matches and higher scoring ability. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.68, indicating an expectation of an open game with the possibility of seeing three or more goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Genk has an average possession of 61.8%, 0.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Brugge, on the other hand, averages 63.2% possession, 0.2 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Genk played as follows: December 19 Charleroi 2-2 Genk, December 14 Genk 1-1 Westerlo, December 11 Midtjylland 1-0 Genk. During the same period, Brugge played: December 21 Brugge 2-1 Gent, December 14 Dender 1-5 Brugge, December 10 Brugge 0-3 Arsenal. The last head-to-head match between the teams was on July 27, ending in a 2-1 victory for Brugge.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Genk has an average total goals of 2.6, while Brugge's is even higher at 3.6. Genk scores an average of 1 goal per game, while Brugge scores 1.8, with both teams conceding more than one goal per game (Genk - 1.6, Brugge - 1.8). Genk has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Brugge has seen it in 4 out of 5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams, but in the second half, Brugge shows 5 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, while Genk shows 2 out of 5. Genk tends to score most frequently in the last 15 minutes (76-90, 33%), while Brugge scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). Genk concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Brugge concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (31%). Given the high average scoring, frequent over 2.5 totals, and Brugge's active second half, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.68 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Genk averages 7 corners per game over the last five matches, while Brugge averages 5.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Genk has seen it in 4 out of 5 matches, while Brugge has seen it in 3 out of 5. The total closest to the average combined is 9.5, where you can find odds: over 9.5 corners at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.97. In the corners market, Brugge is favored with odds of 2.04. Based on the average corner activity of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks logical.