Prediction for match Genk — Basel

Match Analysis: Genk vs Basel

On November 27, a UEFA Europa League match will take place between Genk and Basel. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Genk's victory is priced at 2.04, Basel's success at 3.72, and a draw at 3.91. In terms of probability, Genk has a 48.31% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.20%, and Basel has a 26.49% chance. Considering the distribution of chances, Genk is viewed as the main contender for victory in this pair, but the gap between the teams is not too large, and a draw is also a possibility.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Genk averaged 58.8% possession, 4.6 corners, 0.8 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. During the same period, Basel showed 57% possession, 6.8 corners, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Genk's last three matches: 23.11 - Genk vs Mechelen 0-1, 09.11 - Gent vs Genk 1-1, 06.11 - Braga vs Genk 3-4. Basel's last three matches: 23.11 - Grasshopper vs Basel 1-1, 09.11 - Basel vs Lugano 0-1, 06.11 - Basel vs FCSB 3-1. In a five-match series, Genk recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, while Basel had two wins, two draws, and one loss.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five games, both teams had over 2.5 goals only once - 1 out of 5 for both Genk and Basel. By halves, Genk had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 1 out of 5 second halves, similarly for Basel - 1 out of 5 in both first and second halves. Genk averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, Basel - 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Genk most frequently scores in the intervals of 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (20% each), while Basel scores most often in the first 30 minutes (29% in both 0-15 and 16-30 intervals). For goals conceded, Genk stands out in the 31-45 minute segment (38%), Basel in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). The overall trend in recent matches for both teams indicates low scoring: average totals are 2.6 for Genk and 1.8 for Basel, and over 2.5 goals occurred infrequently. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 3.25 goals seems logical - odds of 1.59. In the last five meetings of both teams, there is an emphasis on cautious play, as evidenced by the low frequency of overs and moderate scoring averages.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Genk averaged 4.6 corners, while Basel averaged 6.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Genk hit this in 2 out of 5, Basel in 3 out of 5. The odds for corner totals highlight the pair: over 9.5 is priced at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.89. Based on average corner activity and total frequency, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but not guaranteed. In the corner outcome, Genk is the favorite with odds of 1.61, but Basel also regularly delivers many corners. Overall, expecting 9-11 corners in the match is quite reasonable, with a slight edge in activity for Basel in recent matches.