Prediction for match Genk — St. Truiden

Match Analysis: Genk vs St. Truiden

In the Jupiler Pro League on 15.03.2026, Genk will face St. Truiden. Genk is favored with odds of 2.23, giving them a 42.79% chance of winning. St. Truiden's odds are 3.05, translating to a 31.28% chance. A draw is priced at 3.68 with a 25.93% probability. According to the odds, Genk is the favorite, but the gap is not too wide, promising an interesting contest. The goal total options are promising: over 2.5 goals is at 1.67, and "Both Teams to Score: Yes" is at 1.52. This reflects the expectation of a high-scoring game from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Genk defeated Freiburg 1-0 (12.03.2026), lost to Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 (07.03.2026), and confidently beat Gent 3-0 (01.03.2026). St. Truiden won against Cercle Brugge 2-1 (08.03.2026), lost to Royal Antwerp 0-1 (28.02.2026), and thrashed Dender 4-1 (21.02.2026). In their last head-to-head encounter on 28.09.2025, St. Truiden lost to Genk 1-2. Over the last five matches, Genk averages 54% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. St. Truiden shows even higher possession at 60.2%, with 1 yellow card, 9 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. These stats indicate that both teams are good at controlling the ball and avoid overly aggressive play.

Team Scoring Streaks

In the last five matches, both teams have a clear over-profile: Genk had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and St. Truiden similarly in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Genk's matches is 3.2, while for St. Truiden it's 3.6. Genk scores 1.6 goals per game, while St. Truiden scores 2.6, with Genk also conceding 1.6 and St. Truiden only 1. In terms of halves, Genk had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, but only once in the first half. St. Truiden had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and twice in the second half. Genk most frequently scores between the 46-60 minute mark (43%), while St. Truiden scores in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each). Genk concedes most often between the 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (43% each), and St. Truiden between the 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (27% each). Given both teams' high scoring nature, attacking profiles, and regular over 2.5 goal outcomes, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.52 seems logical. Both sides consistently find the net, and Genk's defense is not particularly reliable, which increases the chances of both teams scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Genk earns 6 corners, and St. Truiden 6.4 per game over their last five matches. In 4 out of their last 5 games, both teams have exceeded the total corners over 9.5. Among the available totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages is 12 (6 + 6.4 = 12.4), but the odds offer a pair for the total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.84, and under 9.5 is also at 1.84. For corner outcomes, Genk is favored with odds of 1.94. Considering both teams' high corner activity, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 total. Additionally, both teams regularly deliver a high number of corners, as confirmed by their recent match statistics and frequent over 9.5 outcomes. Overall, the match promises to be rich not only in goals but also in set pieces.