Prediction for match Genoa — Roma

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on March 8, Genoa will face Roma, with Roma being the favorite according to the odds: a win for the Romans is priced at 1.95, a draw at 3.58, and a success for Genoa at 4.45. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Roma - 50.43%, draw - 27.47%, Genoa - 22.10%. This setup highlights Roma's advantage, as they appear more favorable both statistically in recent matches and in current form. Moreover, the percentage gap between a draw and a Genoa win is noticeable, further emphasizing the Roman club as the main contender for three points.

Team Results and Statistics

Genoa's results in the last five matches were as follows: lost to Inter 0-2 on February 28, confidently defeated Torino 3-0 on February 22, drew 0-0 with Cremonese on February 15, lost to Napoli 2-3 on February 7, and lost to Lazio 2-3 on January 30. During the same period, Roma played a 3-3 draw with Juventus on March 3, thrashed Cremonese 3-0 on February 22, drew 2-2 with Napoli on February 15, defeated Cagliari 2-0 on February 9, and lost to Udinese 0-1 on February 2. On average over five matches, Genoa had 51.2% ball possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Roma had 52.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 29, 2025, Roma defeated Genoa 3-1.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Genoa averages 1.4 goals scored per game, conceding 1.6, with a total average of 3 goals per match. Roma's figures are even higher: 2 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, with an average total of 3.2. In the first half, Genoa had two instances of over 1.5 goals, while Roma had one. In the second half, Genoa played over 1.5 goals twice, and Roma did so three times. For goal intervals: Genoa most frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (20% each), while Roma scores most often in the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (27% each). Genoa concedes most often in the 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (40% each), while Roma tends to concede late (76-90 minutes, 40%). Considering both teams regularly play over 2.5 goals and have high average goal figures, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 2.34.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Genoa averages 4.2 corners per match, Roma 5.6, totaling 9.8. In the last five games, both teams had a total over 9.5 corners twice. Among available corner totals, the 9.5 line is closest to the average sum: odds for over 9.5 are 2.37, and for under 1.52. Roma is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.52. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning a decent number of corners, especially Roma, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.