Prediction for match Genoa — Atalanta, 21.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Serie A clash on December 21, Genoa will face Atalanta. According to the 1X2 odds, Atalanta is favored to win: their victory is priced at 2.03 with a probability of 48.53%. A draw is set at odds of 3.56, corresponding to a 27.67% chance, while a Genoa win is at 4.14 with a probability of 23.80%. Thus, analysts expect Atalanta to take the lead, but Genoa isn't entirely without hope. The match promises to be eventful, considering the attacking profile of both teams and their recent encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Genoa lost to Inter 1-2 on December 14, defeated Udinese 2-1 on December 8, and lost to Atalanta 0-4 on December 3. Meanwhile, Atalanta beat Cagliari 2-1 on December 13, overcame Chelsea 2-1 on December 9, and lost to Verona 1-3 on December 6. In their last head-to-head on December 3, Atalanta comfortably defeated Genoa 4-0. Over a five-match series, Genoa's possession is 44.6%, with an average of 1 yellow card, 11.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Atalanta's possession is 57%, with 0.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These figures indicate better discipline and ball control by Atalanta, although both teams commit a similar number of fouls per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Genoa shows a clear tendency for high-scoring games: all 5 matches went over 2.5 goals. Atalanta also displays an attacking style, with 4 of their 5 games ending with three or more goals. Genoa averages 3.8 goals per match, while Atalanta averages 3.2. Genoa scores 1.6 on average and concedes 2.2, while Atalanta scores 2.2 and concedes 1. By halves, Genoa had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Atalanta had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of 5, but 4 out of 5 times in the second half. Genoa most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (27% each), while they most often concede between the 31st-45th minutes (38%). Atalanta frequently scores late, between the 76th-90th minutes (31%). Their conceded goals are evenly distributed: 33% in the 16th-30th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes. Given the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent overs on 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.16 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Genoa averages 2.2 corners per game, Atalanta 4.8, totaling 7. In the last 5 matches, Genoa exceeded a total of 9.5 corners only once, while Atalanta did so twice. Among available corner totals, the closest to the average sum is the 8.5 option: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.67, under 8.5 at 2.08. For corner outcomes, Atalanta is favored at 1.68. Based on the average corner activity, betting on over 8.5 corners seems logical, although no clear over-profile has been observed in recent games, which should be considered when choosing a bet.