Prediction for match Genoa — Pisa, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 3, Genoa will face Pisa. The odds for a Genoa win are 1.95, a draw is priced at 3.32, and Pisa's victory is at 4.96. In terms of probability percentages: Genoa - 50.49%, draw - 29.66%, Pisa - 19.85%. Based on the odds and probability distribution, Genoa is considered the favorite. However, the difference in recent match results and goal statistics of both teams suggests that an easy victory for either side is unlikely. The betting line also offers options on totals and individual performances, providing opportunities to place bets based on recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

Over a five-match series, Genoa has 36% possession, while Pisa has 46%. Genoa averages 0.6 yellow cards, and Pisa 2.2. Genoa commits 11 fouls per game, Pisa 13. Both teams average 1.4 offsides per match. In Genoa's last three matches: December 29 - Roma 3-1 Genoa, December 21 - Genoa 0-1 Atalanta, December 14 - Genoa 1-2 Inter. For Pisa: December 27 - Pisa 0-2 Juventus, December 21 - Cagliari 2-2 Pisa, December 12 - Lecce 1-0 Pisa. Their head-to-head on January 28, 2023, ended 0-0. These stats highlight that both teams are not very prolific in scoring and often struggle in attack, also committing many fouls and receiving cautions, especially Pisa.

Totals Statistics

In a five-match series, Genoa has an average total of 3 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Pisa's average total is 2, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Genoa has 4 out of 5 matches over, Pisa only 1 out of 5 over and 4 under. In the first half, Genoa has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Pisa none. In the second half, Genoa has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Pisa 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Genoa most often scores between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Pisa scores in the 61-75 minute interval (67%). Both teams are most vulnerable at the end: Genoa - 76-90 minutes (50%), Pisa - 76-90 minutes (43%). Despite Genoa's high average match goal totals, their attack is unstable, and Pisa's scoring is minimal. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems logical: Genoa's attack is unstable, and Pisa has hardly scored in recent games, while both defenses are imperfect, but overall scoring is unlikely to be high.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Genoa averages 2.8 corners per game, Pisa 3.8. In a five-match series, Genoa had 2 out of 5 matches over 9.5 total corners, Pisa 3 out of 5. For the total corners line of 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.74, under 8.5 at 1.98. Genoa is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.57. Considering both teams' averages, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems reasonable, though not guaranteed, as neither team consistently delivers a high number of corners. A bet on Genoa to win on corners can also be considered, given the difference in average performance in this aspect.