Prediction for match Genoa — Sassuolo

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On April 12, Genoa will face Sassuolo in a Serie A clash. The main odds for the outcome are: Genoa win at 2.24, draw at 3.46, and Sassuolo win at 3.58. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Genoa - 43.99%, draw - 28.48%, Sassuolo - 27.53%. Based on these figures, a Genoa victory seems most likely, although the gap between the teams isn't significant. Over/Under options: over 2.5 goals at 2.21, under 2.5 goals at 1.78. Both teams to score: yes - 1.85, no - 1.87. For individual totals: Genoa over 1 goal at 1.48, Sassuolo over 1 goal at 2.00. By halves: second-half total over 1.5 goals at 2.34, under 1.5 goals at 1.62.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Genoa lost 0-2 to Juventus, 0-2 to Udinese, and won 2-0 against Verona. Sassuolo, in their last three outings, beat Cagliari 2-1, drew 1-1 with Juventus, and lost 0-1 to Bologna. Over a five-match span, Genoa averages: 47.6% possession, 1 yellow card, 8.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Sassuolo averages: 42.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 3, 2025, Sassuolo lost to Genoa 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Genoa has an average total of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Sassuolo's average total is higher at 2.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 of Genoa's 5 matches and in 3 of Sassuolo's 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals: both teams have 1 of 5. In the second half over 1.5 goals: both Genoa and Sassuolo have 3 of 5. Goal intervals: Genoa spreads their goals evenly across all segments (17% in each of the six intervals), while Sassuolo often scores late (76-90 minutes - 38%). Conceding: Genoa most frequently concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), Sassuolo evenly across all intervals at 20%. Given the average scoring of both teams, Sassuolo's higher frequency of over 2.5 goals, and the tendency for goals in the second half, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.57 seems logical. The odds are above the minimum threshold, and the stats support this choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Genoa averages 3.8 corners per match, Sassuolo 4.4. In the last five encounters, Genoa surpassed 9.5 corners only once, while Sassuolo did so 3 times out of 5. The closest average total is 8.5 (3.8+4.4=8.2), with odds available: over 8.5 corners at 1.65, under 8.5 at 2.10. For corner outcomes, Genoa is at 1.82, Sassuolo at 2.40. Considering Sassuolo's higher frequency of surpassing 9.5 corners and both teams' averages being close to 8.5, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified. A bet on Genoa to win on corners could also be considered, given the lower odds for this outcome.