Prediction for match Genoa — Udinese

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Udinese

In Serie A on March 20th, Genoa will face Udinese. The odds for a Genoa win are 2.24, a draw is priced at 3.28, and a victory for Udinese is at 3.78. In terms of probability: Genoa - 43.95%, Draw - 30.01%, Udinese - 26.04%. Genoa is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap is not significant, indicating a potentially close contest. Among the additional markets, the over 1.5 goals at 1.50 is particularly appealing, fitting the statistics of both teams and meeting the minimum threshold for the main prediction.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last three matches, Genoa secured two victories: on 15.03.2026 against Verona with a score of 0-2, and on 08.03.2026 against Roma with a 2-1 win, but they lost to Inter 0-2 on 28.02.2026. Udinese's recent form includes a 0-1 loss to Juventus on 14.03.2026, a 2-2 draw with Atalanta on 07.03.2026, and a 3-0 win over Fiorentina on 02.03.2026. In their head-to-head clash on 08.12.2025, Udinese was defeated by Genoa 1-2. For secondary statistics, Genoa's average ball possession over five games is 52.8%, while Udinese's is 43.2%. Genoa averages 0.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game, compared to Udinese's 2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. This reflects Genoa's more disciplined play and Udinese's higher activity in challenges.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Genoa has gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Udinese has gone over three times and under twice. Genoa's matches average 2 goals, while Udinese's average is 2.4. Genoa scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6 per game, whereas Udinese scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. In the first half, Genoa has only once exceeded the 1.5 goals line in five games, and Udinese has not done so at all. In the second half, Genoa went over 1.5 goals twice, and Udinese three times. Genoa most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (29% each), while Udinese scores most often between the 61st and 75th minute (43%). Genoa concedes most often in the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minute intervals (33% each), while Udinese concedes most frequently in the 46th-60th minute (60%). These data suggest both teams are capable of scoring, especially in the second half, making the over 1.5 goals a reasonable bet.

Corner Totals Analysis

Genoa averages 3.8 corners over the last five matches, while Udinese averages 4.8. For the over 9.5 corners total, Genoa has hit this mark twice in five games, and Udinese three times. Available corner totals include Over 9.5 at 2.14 and Under 9.5 at 1.60. For corner outcomes, Genoa is at 1.91, and Udinese at 2.46. Combined, the teams average 8.6 corners per game, close to the 9.5 line but slightly under. A cautious bet on under 9.5 corners is logical, although with both teams' attacking styles, an over is also possible.