Prediction for match Genoa — Verona, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Verona

In Serie A on November 29, Genoa will face Verona. The odds for a Genoa victory are 2.14, a draw is priced at 3.15, and a win for Verona is at 4.34. The probability distribution for the match outcome is as follows: Genoa 46.03%, draw 31.27%, Verona 22.70%. Genoa has a higher percentage chance of winning, but the draw is also given significant consideration. This is reflected in the teams' average positions this season and shows the bookmakers' cautious approach to predicting the outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Genoa had an average possession of 45%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Verona, over the same period, had 38.6% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 19 fouls, and 2 offsides on average. Recent matches for Genoa include: Cagliari 3-3 Genoa on 22.11, Genoa 2-2 Fiorentina on 09.11, and Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa on 03.11. For Verona: Verona 1-2 Parma on 23.11, Lecce 0-0 Verona on 08.11, and Verona 1-2 Inter on 02.11. In their head-to-head on 13.04.2025, Verona and Genoa drew 0-0, indicating a total under 2.5, although previous encounters have had more goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Genoa saw over 2.5 goals four times, while Verona had the same frequency - 4 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice out of five, while in the second half, Genoa did it four times, and Verona three. Genoa averaged 1.6 goals scored, 2 goals conceded, with a total match average of 3.6 goals. Verona's stats were 1 scored, 1.8 conceded, with a total of 2.8 goals per game. Genoa most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (44%), while Verona scores between the 61st and 75th minute (29%). In terms of goals conceded, Genoa often lets in goals between the 16th and 30th minute (30%), and Verona in the final 15 minutes, from the 76th to 90th minute (57%). Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, especially in the second half. Based on this data, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.99 seems logical: both teams regularly exceed total goals, and the timing of goals suggests at least two goals could be expected.

Corners in the Match

Genoa averages 4 corners per game, while Verona averages 3.2. In the last 5 matches, Genoa had over 9.5 corners four times, while Verona only once. The odds for total corners closest to the average sum is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.68, under 8.5 at 2.06. Genoa is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.66. Recent match dynamics show Genoa earns more corners, and a total of 8.5 is in a range where betting on over might make sense. Overall, a match with a good number of set-pieces is expected, particularly if the game turns attacking in the second half.