Prediction for match Germany — Slovakia

Match Analysis: Germany vs Slovakia

In the European World Cup qualifiers on November 17, Germany will face Slovakia. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Germany's victory is priced at 1.22, a draw at 7.00, and Slovakia's success at 11.00. The probability distribution data suggests: Germany - 77.81%, Draw - 13.56%, Slovakia - 8.63%. This setup clearly establishes Germany as the favorite against a team that has shown more modest performances in recent matches. The odds for other main outcomes are also tilted in favor of the hosts: Over 2.5 goals is at 1.48, and Both Teams to Score: No is at 1.75.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Germany has demonstrated a high ball possession rate of 73.8%, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Slovakia significantly lags in ball control (50.6%) and other secondary metrics: 1.2 yellows, 14.2 fouls, 1 offside. Recent results: Germany defeated Luxembourg 2-0 (14.11.2025), overcame Northern Ireland 1-0 (13.10.2025), thrashed Luxembourg 4-0 (10.10.2025). Slovakia edged Northern Ireland 1-0 (14.11.2025), won against Luxembourg 2-0 (13.10.2025), but lost to Northern Ireland 0-2 (10.10.2025). The teams met in September, where Slovakia beat Germany 2-0 (04.09.2025), with the total under 2.5 not being surpassed.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Germany exceeded the over 2.5 goals line twice, playing under three times. Slovakia, over the same period, saw all five matches end under 2.5 goals. In first halves, Germany has two instances over 1.5, Slovakia has none. In second halves, Germany has three instances over 1.5, Slovakia one. On average, Germany scores 2 goals per game and concedes 0.6, Slovakia scores 1.2 and concedes 0.4. Average total per game: Germany 2.6, Slovakia 1.6. Timing: Germany often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), Slovakia has two peaks - 46-60 and 76-90 (29% each). Germany tends to concede between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), Slovakia in the final stretch, 76-90 (100%). Given Slovakia's low scoring in recent matches and the trend towards under 2.5 goals, it's logical to expect both teams not to score - the Both Teams to Score: No bet seems optimal at odds of 1.75.

Corners in the Match

In terms of corners, Germany averages 5.4 per match over a 5-game span, Slovakia 4.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurring is 1 out of 5 for Germany, 2 out of 5 for Slovakia. The odds for the total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. Germany is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.17. Looking at the frequencies and averages for both teams, a bet on under 9.5 total corners seems justified: both teams rarely reach high corner counts in recent matches. Individually, Germany's under 6.5 corners is at 1.80, Slovakia's under 2.5 is at 1.73.