Prediction for match Getafe — Atletico Madrid, 23.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Spanish La Liga, Getafe will face Atletico Madrid on November 23. According to the odds, Atletico Madrid is favored to win at 1.82, a draw is priced at 3.54, and a Getafe victory is at 5.48. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcomes are: Atletico Madrid has a 54.16% chance to win, a draw is at 27.85%, and Getafe's chances stand at 17.99%. These figures clearly indicate the visitors' advantage in this match. Additionally, the double chance odds for Home/Draw are set at 2.10, which is the highest among the double chance options. For total goals, Over 2.5 is at 2.61, Under 2.5 at 1.58, and Both Teams to Score: No is at 1.61.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Getafe averaged 42% possession, received 2.8 yellow cards, committed 15.8 fouls, and were caught offside 3.2 times per game. Atletico Madrid appears stronger in these metrics: 56.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Getafe's last three matches were: 09.11 Mallorca - Getafe 1-0, 31.10 Getafe - Girona 2-1, 25.10 Athletic Bilbao - Getafe 0-1. Atletico Madrid's recent games include: 08.11 Atletico Madrid - Levante 3-1, 04.11 Atletico Madrid - Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1, 01.11 Atletico Madrid - Sevilla 3-0. In their head-to-head on 09.03.2025, Getafe beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 (Over 2.5 goals was achieved).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Getafe saw Over 2.5 goals twice and Under three times. Atletico Madrid had four out of five games with Over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Getafe had Over 1.5 goals in just 1 of 5 matches, and the same in the second half. Atletico Madrid had Over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 of 5, and in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Average figures: Getafe scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1, while Atletico Madrid scores 2.2 times per game and concedes 1.2. Total goals per game average - 1.8 for Getafe and 3.4 for Atletico Madrid. Getafe most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%) and concedes in the same period (50%). Atletico Madrid is most productive between the 61st and 75th minutes (46%), and they concede evenly across the first three periods and at the end (25% each). Given the visitors' pronounced scoring ability and attacking potential, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems logical, considering Getafe's low scoring and Atletico Madrid's tendency to defend solidly against lower-class opponents.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Getafe averages 6.8 over 5 matches, while Atletico Madrid averages 9.6. In the last five matches, Getafe failed to surpass a total of 9.5 corners three times, while Atletico Madrid did so in 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners over 7.5 are at 1.44, while under 9.5 is at 1.50. For corners, Atletico Madrid is favored with odds of 1.67. Given these numbers, a bet on Atletico Madrid's individual corners over 4.5 at 1.73 or the overall total over 7.5 at 1.44 seems justified - both teams regularly earn a lot of corners, with the visitors particularly standing out in this aspect.