Prediction for match Gibraltar — Latvia

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On March 26, Gibraltar will face Latvia in the Nations League. The odds for a Latvia win are 1.51, a draw is at 4.37, and a victory for Gibraltar is priced at 7.90. The probability percentages for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Gibraltar win 12.44%, draw 22.49%, Latvia win 65.08%. Latvia is considered the favorite by both bookmakers and statistical data, which is also supported by their head-to-head history.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Gibraltar lost to the Czech Republic 0-6, Montenegro 1-2, and Croatia 0-3. Latvia played 1-2 against Serbia, 0-0 with North Macedonia, and lost 0-5 to England. The last meeting between these teams was on November 16, 2021, which ended with a 3-1 victory for Latvia. Over the last five matches, Gibraltar has had 29.6% ball possession, with an average of 1.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Latvia, on the other hand, has 42.25% possession, 2.5 yellow cards, 11.5 fouls, and 1.25 offsides. This reflects the difference in ball control and discipline between the teams.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Gibraltar vs Latvia Match

In the last five matches, Gibraltar had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Latvia had it in 3 out of 5. The average number of goals in Gibraltar's matches is 3.2, and for Latvia, it's 3.25. Gibraltar scores an average of 0.4 goals per game, while Latvia scores 0.75, conceding 2.8 and 2.5 respectively. In terms of halves, over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half, it was 2 times for Gibraltar and 3 times for Latvia. Gibraltar most frequently scores between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 76th-90th minutes (23% each), while Latvia scores most often between the 46th-60th minutes (60%). Gibraltar is most vulnerable to conceding goals in the 31st-45th minutes (50%), and Latvia in the same interval (38%). Given the high scoring nature of recent matches and the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.08 seems justified.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Gibraltar is 1.6, and for Latvia, it's 3.5 per game. In the last five matches, Gibraltar consistently exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, while Latvia did so 2 times out of 5. Considering total corners, there is no pair for the value of 5.0 in the line, and the closest total with a pair is 9.5, but there are no odds for this total. Statistically, the match could see a low number of corners, especially from Gibraltar. It makes sense to consider cautious bets on lower corner totals, given the average figures for both teams.