Prediction for match Gibraltar — Montenegro, 14.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the World Cup qualification match between Gibraltar and Montenegro, the odds and probabilities indicate a strong dominance by the visitors. Montenegro is the favorite with a 78.09% chance of winning, supported by odds of 1.20 for their victory. A draw is priced at 7.00 with a 13.39% probability, while Gibraltar is given odds of 11.00 and an 8.52% chance. Previous encounters also showed Montenegro's advantage, and the bookmakers' expectations remain unchanged this time. This odds and probability setup reflects the significant class difference between the teams and Gibraltar's minimal chances for a positive outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Gibraltar shows an average ball possession of 27.6%, with an average of 1.4 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Montenegro has a higher possession rate of 48.8%, averages 2.8 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and records 1 offside per game. In their last three matches, Gibraltar lost 0-3 to Croatia, 0-1 to the Faroe Islands, and suffered a 1-2 defeat to the Faroe Islands. Montenegro lost 0-4 to the Faroe Islands, 0-4 to Croatia, and 0-2 to the Czech Republic in recent games. In a head-to-head match on March 22, 2025, Montenegro won 3-1 against Gibraltar, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved. These results highlight the difference in playing level and the current form of the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Gibraltar participated in four games with a total over 2.5 goals, while Montenegro did so twice. In terms of halves, Gibraltar had only one match with a total over 1.5 goals in the first half, and four times in the second half. Montenegro had one first-half match over 1.5 goals and twice in the second half. Average figures over the five-match span: Gibraltar averages 3.6 goals per game, scoring 0.2 and conceding 3.4; Montenegro averages 2.6 goals, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.4. Gibraltar most often scores in the 76-90 minute interval (50%), while Montenegro also scores most frequently in the 76-90 interval (27%). For conceded goals, Gibraltar is most vulnerable in the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals (31% each), while Montenegro is most vulnerable in the 0-15 and 76-90 intervals (50% each). The statistics clearly indicate both teams' issues with scoring: both have scored only 0.2 goals per game in the five-match series. On this background, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.50 seems logical, considering the weak attacks of both Gibraltar and Montenegro, and the low probability of exchanging goals. Additionally, both teams have had 3 of their last 5 matches end with a total under 2.5, supporting a cautious approach to goal predictions.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding corners, Gibraltar averages 1.4 per match, while Montenegro averages 4.4. In their last five encounters, Gibraltar played all matches with a total corner count over 9.5, while Montenegro did so four times. The line for this match has the total corners over 9.5 at 1.98, and under at 1.82. The corner outcome also leans towards Montenegro with odds of 1.11. Gibraltar's individual total corners under 2.5 is priced at 1.67, and over at 2.10, while Montenegro's over 6.5 is at 1.73. Given this difference in corner activity and the visitors' dominance, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems reasonable, considering the frequency of this outcome in both teams' recent matches.