Prediction for match Gil Vicente — Casa Pia

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

On April 27, in the Primeira Liga, Gil Vicente will face Casa Pia. Bookmakers have Gil Vicente as the favorites with odds of 1.66 for their victory, 3.87 for a draw, and 5.82 for Casa Pia's success. The probability percentages are 58.34% for a Gil Vicente win, 25.02% for a draw, and 16.64% for Casa Pia. These odds reflect the current form and performance differences between the teams. The goal total options are also intriguing: under 2.5 goals is at 1.81, while over 2.5 is at 2.09. The option "both teams to score: no" is at 1.74, and "yes" is at 1.98. The main prediction for this match is under 2.5 goals at 1.81.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Gil Vicente played as follows: 18.04.2026 - Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1, 13.04.2026 - Tondela vs Gil Vicente 2-2, 03.04.2026 - Gil Vicente vs ABC 3-0. Casa Pia's last three games: 23.04.2026 - Casa Pia vs Braga 0-1, 18.04.2026 - Casa Pia vs Santa Clara 0-0, 12.04.2026 - Alverca vs Casa Pia 3-1. In their head-to-head on 13.12.2025, Casa Pia and Gil Vicente drew 1-1. Additional statistics show that Gil Vicente averages 50.8% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides over five matches. Casa Pia, in the same period, holds 34.4% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 16.6 fouls, and also records 1.4 offsides. These stats highlight the differences in style and activity between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Gil Vicente has an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Casa Pia averages 2.2. During this period, Gil Vicente scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2, while Casa Pia scores only 0.4 and concedes 1.8. Gil Vicente's matches went over 2.5 goals 3 times out of 5, while Casa Pia's did so 2 out of 5 times. In the first half, Gil Vicente had over 1.5 goals 2 times, Casa Pia 1 time, while both teams had over 1.5 in the second half 2 out of 5 times. Gil Vicente most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (44%), and Casa Pia also scores in the final minutes (76-90, 38%). For goals conceded, Gil Vicente's most frequent interval is 76-90 (40%), while Casa Pia has three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 (33% each). Despite occasional scoring bursts from Gil Vicente, both teams generally lean towards low-scoring games: Casa Pia scores very little, and over 2.5 goals is not consistently seen. Therefore, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical based on current trends.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Gil Vicente averages 5.2 corners over 5 matches, while Casa Pia averages 4.6. In the last 5 games, Gil Vicente's total corners exceeded 9.5 four times, and Casa Pia's did so three times. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.83. Gil Vicente is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.22. Overall, both teams can reach 9-10 corners in a match, so betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, considering their average, betting on Gil Vicente to win the corner count is a viable option.