Prediction for match Gil Vicente — Tondela, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Tondela

In the Primeira Liga on November 29, Gil Vicente will face Tondela. According to 1X2 odds, Gil Vicente is the favorite: odds for their win are 1.71, a draw is at 3.74, and a win for Tondela is at 5.61. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Gil Vicente win - 56.75%, draw - 25.95%, Tondela win - 17.30%. This clearly shows a strong advantage for Gil Vicente, but a draw is still a possibility with nearly a 26% chance. Tondela is considered the underdog, but surprises can happen in matches with such odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Gil Vicente had an average possession of 46.8%, committed 17 fouls, recorded 1 offside, and received 3.4 yellow cards per game. The team averaged 4.4 corners per match. In their last three games: November 9, 2025 - ABC vs Gil Vicente 1-1, November 3, 2025 - Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara 1-0, October 24, 2025 - Alverca vs Gil Vicente 0-4. Tondela, over 5 games, averaged 45.8% possession, 16.6 fouls, 1.2 offsides, 4.2 yellow cards, and 4 corners per match. Their last three matches: November 8, 2025 - Tondela vs Vitória Guimarães 0-1, November 2, 2025 - ABC vs Tondela 2-2, October 26, 2025 - Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon 0-3. In their recent head-to-head: July 22, 2022 - Gil Vicente vs Tondela 1-1 (under 2.5 goals).

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Gil Vicente saw over 2.5 goals twice, under 2.5 three times. Tondela, in the same period, had over 2.5 goals four times, under once. By halves, Gil Vicente exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half four times, and twice in the second. Tondela did so twice in the first half, three times in the second. Average figures: Gil Vicente - 2.4 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6; Tondela - 2.8 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2. Gil Vicente often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), and concedes in the first 15 minutes (43%). Tondela most frequently scores between the 31st-45th (33%) and 61st-75th (33%) minutes, conceding during three periods: 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th (25% each). In this matchup, Tondela's low scoring rate stands out: an average of just 0.8 goals over 5 matches, while conceding an average of 2. Gil Vicente, on the other hand, has higher scoring and lower conceding rates. Based on this balance, betting on both teams not to score seems most logical: odds for BTTS: No - 1.69.

Corner Totals Analysis

Gil Vicente averages 4.4 corners per match, Tondela - 4. In the last 5 matches, Gil Vicente's total corners over 9.5 happened once, under 9.5 four times. Tondela had the same: over twice, under three times. Considering the total corners, the closest to the average sum (8.4) is 8.5. For total corners 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.61, under 8.5 - 2.22. Gil Vicente is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.34. In this matchup, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 total corners, given both teams consistently deliver 4-4.4 corners per game. Also, note the low frequency of over 9.5 corners in recent matches, which may indicate a cautious approach in set pieces.