Prediction for match Girona — Atletico Madrid

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 21, in La Liga, Girona will face Atletico Madrid. Atletico Madrid are the bookmakers' favorites with odds of 1.72 for their victory, indicating a 57.32% chance of success. A draw is priced at 4.21 (23.42%), while a Girona win is at 5.12 (19.26%). The main goal total lines suggest an expectation of a high-scoring game: over 2.5 goals is at 1.81, and both teams to score is priced at 1.73. This highlights that analysts anticipate goals from both sides and a dynamic match. Individual goal totals are also offered with competitive odds: over 1.5 goals for Atletico Madrid is at 1.70, and over 0.5 goals for Girona is at 1.52.

Team Recent Match Overview

In their last five matches, Girona has averaged 48.8% possession, received 3 bookings, committed 11.4 fouls, and had 2.2 offsides per game. Atletico Madrid, over the same period, has averaged 49.6% possession, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 12.4 fouls, and had 3 offsides per match. Girona's last three results were: December 12 Real Sociedad 1-2 Girona, December 7 Elche 3-0 Girona, December 3 Orense CF 2-1 Girona. Atletico Madrid's last three matches ended as follows: December 17 Atletico Baleares 2-3 Atletico Madrid, December 13 Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia, December 9 PSV 2-3 Atletico Madrid. In their head-to-head on May 25, 2025, Atletico Madrid thrashed Girona 4-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Girona has averaged 1 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, with a total of 2.6 goals per game. Atletico Madrid, in the same stretch, has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with an average total of 3.6 goals per match. Regarding over/under totals: Girona has seen 3 out of 5 games go over 2.5 goals, while Atletico Madrid has seen 4 out of 5. In first halves, Girona has gone over 1.5 goals only once in five matches, while Atletico Madrid has done so 3 out of 5 times. In second halves, Girona has gone over 1.5 goals twice in five matches, Atletico Madrid 4 times. Girona most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%), while Atletico Madrid tends to score late, from the 76th to 90th minutes (42%). Girona most often concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while Atletico Madrid also concedes most in that interval (38%). Overall, both teams' statistics for over 2.5 totals, as well as goal distribution by halves and intervals, support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.81. Expect at least three goals, considering Atletico Madrid's high scoring rate and frequent over totals for both sides.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Girona earns 2.4 corners per match, while Atletico Madrid earns 5.4, totaling 7.8. In the last five games, Girona has not surpassed the over 9.5 corners total, while Atletico Madrid has done so 4 out of 5 times. Considering the odds for corner totals, for the 8.5 line, both options are available: over 8.5 is priced at 1.53, under 8.5 at 2.34. In corner outcomes, Atletico Madrid is favored with odds of 1.60. It makes sense to consider a bet on Atletico Madrid's individual corner advantage, as well as over 8.5 total corners, given their active flanking play. Meanwhile, Girona rarely exceeds 3-4 corners per match, which might limit the overall total unless Atletico Madrid dominates the flanks throughout the match.