Prediction for match Girona — Celta

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In La Liga on March 1st, Girona will face Celta. The main odds for the outcomes are: a Girona win is at 2.52, a draw is priced at 3.46, and a Celta victory is at 3.04. The probability distribution is as follows: Girona - 39.10%, draw - 28.48%, Celta - 32.42%. For total goals options: over 2.5 goals is at 2.03, under 2.5 is at 1.91. Both teams to score: yes - 1.72, no - 2.02. Among Girona's individual totals, the bet on over 1 is at 1.54, and for Celta, over 1 is at 1.69. However, the main prediction for this match is over 2.5 goals at 2.03.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Girona shows average values: ball possession - 53.6%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 11.6, offsides - 1.8. Celta in the same period: possession - 54%, yellow cards - 1.2, fouls - 10.2, offsides - 2. Recent results for Girona: 23.02.2026 - Alavés vs Girona - 2-2, 16.02.2026 - Girona vs Barcelona - 2-1, 08.02.2026 - Sevilla vs Girona - 1-1. For Celta: 26.02.2026 - Celta vs PAOK - 1-0, 22.02.2026 - Celta vs Mallorca - 2-0, 19.02.2026 - PAOK vs Celta - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 14.09.2025, Celta and Girona played to a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 games, Girona's over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times, under - 3. For Celta, over 2.5 happened 3 out of 5, under - 2. The average number of goals in Girona's matches is 2.4, and for Celta, it's 2.6. Goals scored: Girona - 1.2, Celta - 1.6, conceded: Girona - 1.2, Celta - 1. In the first half, over 1.5 goals was recorded only once for both teams, but in the second half, Girona had 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Celta had 3 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: both teams most frequently score between the 76-90 minutes (57% each), while Girona most often concedes between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), Celta - in 31-45 (67%). All of this indicates that both teams are capable of scoring in the second half, and the average goal metrics and Celta's over 2.5 success make the bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.03 logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over 5 matches, Girona averages 4.6 corners, Celta - 5. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Girona has 3 out of 5, Celta - 1 out of 5. Among corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values (4.6 + 5 = 9.6) is 9.5. Over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.07, under 9.5 - at 1.67. For the outcome on corners, Girona is the favorite with odds of 1.81. Given the average activity of both teams in corner kicks, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially if the match opens up in the second half.